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N
Compass
Sports intelligence · MLB edition
Issue 1
March 27, 2026
Friday, March 27 8 games · 8 games
Game recaps
ATH @ TOR
Rogers Centre
ATH
2
TOR
3
ATH starter
Luis Severino
5.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K · 3 H · 84 pitches
TOR starter
Kevin Gausman
6.0 IP · 1 ER · 11 K · 1 H · 83 pitches
ATH performers
Shea Langeliers 3-4 (2 HR, 2 RBI)
TOR performers
Andrés Giménez 2-3 (3 RBI, 1 BB)
Kazuma Okamoto 2-3 (2 R, 1 BB)
Ernie Clement 2-4 (1 R)
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
CLE @ SEA
T-Mobile Park
CLE
1
SEA
5
CLE starter
Gavin Williams
5.0 IP · 3 ER · 7 K · 2 H · 89 pitches
SEA starter
George Kirby
6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K · 2 H · 90 pitches
CLE performers
Steven Kwan 2-4
SEA performers
Nothing noteworthy
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
NYY @ SF
Oracle Park
NYY
3
SF
0
NYY starter
Cam Schlittler
5.3 IP · 0 ER · 8 K · 1 H · 68 pitches
SF starter
Robbie Ray
5.3 IP · 2 ER · 4 K · 5 H · 89 pitches
NYY performers
Giancarlo Stanton 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI)
José Caballero 2-4
SF performers
Nothing noteworthy
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
DET @ SD
Petco Park
DET
5
SD
2
DET starter
Framber Valdez
6.0 IP · 1 ER · 5 K · 7 H · 83 pitches
SD starter
Michael King
5.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K · 1 H · 82 pitches
DET performers
Nothing noteworthy
SD performers
Jackson Merrill 2-3 (1 R, 1 BB)
Jake Cronenworth 2-4
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
COL @ MIA
loanDepot park
COL
1
MIA
2
COL starter
Kyle Freeland
4.3 IP · 2 ER · 2 K · 5 H · 81 pitches
MIA starter
Sandy Alcantara
7.0 IP · 0 ER · 5 K · 4 H · 73 pitches
COL performers
Hunter Goodman 2-4
MIA performers
Javier Sanoja 3-3 (1 RBI)
Connor Norby 2-3
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
ARI @ LAD
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
ARI
4
LAD
5
ARI starter
Ryne Nelson
4.7 IP · 4 ER · 4 K · 2 H · 83 pitches
LAD starter
Emmet Sheehan
3.3 IP · 4 ER · 6 K · 5 H · 83 pitches
ARI performers
Ketel Marte 2-5 (1 HR, 1 RBI)
Alek Thomas 2-3 (3 RBI, 1 BB)
Gabriel Moreno 2-4 (1 R)
LAD performers
Alex Freeland 2-3 (1 HR, 1 RBI)
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
LAA @ HOU
Daikin Park
LAA
6
HOU
2
LAA starter
Yusei Kikuchi
4.3 IP · 2 ER · 3 K · 8 H · 86 pitches
HOU starter
Mike Burrows
5.7 IP · 5 ER · 6 K · 9 H · 94 pitches
LAA performers
Mike Trout 3-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)
Josh Lowe 2-4 (1 HR, 3 RBI)
Zach Neto 2-5 (1 HR, 1 RBI)
HOU performers
Jeremy Peña 2-5 (1 R)
Carlos Correa 2-3 (1 BB)
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
KC @ ATL
Truist Park
KC
0
ATL
6
KC starter
Cole Ragans
4.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 K · 6 H · 90 pitches
ATL starter
Chris Sale
6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 K · 3 H · 88 pitches
KC performers
Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4
ATL performers
Ozzie Albies 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI)
Austin Riley 3-3 (1 R, 1 BB)
Matt Olson 2-4 (1 R)
Bettor signal Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.
Fantasy signal Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.
Rolling performance tables · updated daily
Bullpen rankings
📊 Sorted by 7-day ERA — most recent form. Lower = better.
🔬 FIP strips out luck and defense. ERA > FIP by 1.0+ = bullpen likely to improve.
K% = strikeout rate. Higher means better raw stuff.
📈 Momentum = 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = trending up, possibly underpriced.
🎯 Signal = Value/Fade/Watch based on momentum + schedule strength.
# Team 7d ERA 14d ERA 28d ERA FIP K% Mom. Signal
1 ATL 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.77 18.2% 0 Neutral
2 BOS 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43 36.4% 0 Neutral
3 COL 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.99 14.5% 0 Neutral
4 LAA 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.32 32.0% 0 Neutral
5 LAD 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.95 24.9% 0 Neutral
6 MIA 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.90 44.4% 0 Neutral
7 NYY 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.32 30.2% 0 Neutral
8 TEX 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19 23.3% 0 Neutral
9 SF 1.17 1.17 1.17 4.66 24.9% 0 Neutral
10 DET 1.50 1.50 1.50 4.60 32.0% 0 Neutral
11 WSH 1.70 1.70 1.70 3.29 16.7% 0 Neutral
12 MIL 2.25 2.25 2.25 3.35 56.2% 0 Neutral
13 ATH 2.43 2.43 2.43 3.91 0.0% 0 Neutral
14 TOR 3.00 3.00 3.00 6.10 38.5% 0 Neutral
15 CHC 3.40 3.40 3.40 6.68 22.8% 0 Neutral
16 CLE 3.86 3.86 3.86 4.39 40.0% 0 Neutral
17 SEA 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.29 21.8% 0 Neutral
18 BAL 4.50 4.50 4.50 -0.90 50.0% 0 Neutral
19 KC 4.50 4.50 4.50 0.60 29.4% 0 Neutral
20 HOU 4.68 4.68 4.68 7.91 27.7% 0 Neutral
21 SD 5.40 5.40 5.40 4.10 20.0% 0 Neutral
22 ARI 6.16 6.16 6.16 5.29 9.4% 0 Neutral
23 MIN 6.67 6.67 6.67 3.47 7.6% 0 Neutral
24 NYM 6.75 6.75 6.75 4.85 18.8% 0 Neutral
25 PIT 7.40 7.40 7.40 7.07 25.1% 0 Neutral
26 CIN 9.00 9.00 9.00 3.10 18.8% 0 Neutral
27 PHI 9.00 9.00 9.00 7.77 6.7% 0 Neutral
28 STL 13.85 13.85 13.85 4.64 11.7% 0 Neutral
29 CWS 14.29 14.29 14.29 10.72 2.8% 0 Neutral
30 TB 24.00 24.00 24.00 7.77 5.0% 0 Neutral
All 30 teams · sorted by 7d ERA · green = 7d top 5 · red = 7d bottom 5 · full table at compassreport.co
ERA Earned run average over rolling window  ·  FIP Fielding independent pitching — removes defense/luck  ·  K% Strikeout rate (higher = better)  ·  Mom. Rank change: 28d rank minus 7d rank (positive = improving)  ·  Signal Value/Fade/Watch based on momentum + schedule strength

SP rotation rankings
📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself.
📉 ERA shows actual runs allowed. High ERA + low FIP = regression candidate (ERA likely to drop).
K-BB% = strikeouts minus walks per batter. Best forward indicator of SP quality.
🚶 WHIP = walks + hits per inning. Measures baserunner control.
📈 Momentum = 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation trending up.
# Team 7d ERA 14d ERA 28d ERA FIP K-BB% WHIP Mom. Signal
1 PHI 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.23 47.6% 0.50 0 Neutral
2 NYY 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.29 28.4% 0.34 0 Neutral
3 BOS 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43 26.1% 0.83 0 Neutral
4 DET 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.52 21.3% 0.92 0 Neutral
5 MIN 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59 26.5% 0.57 0 Neutral
6 TOR 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.60 57.9% 0.17 0 Neutral
7 CIN 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.27 11.5% 1.33 0 Neutral
8 SF 6.99 6.99 6.99 2.52 21.8% 1.46 0 Neutral
9 MIA 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.53 11.1% 0.86 0 Neutral
10 ATL 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.60 12.5% 1.00 0 Neutral
11 WSH 4.86 4.86 4.86 2.83 11.7% 1.62 0 Neutral
12 MIL 1.80 1.80 1.80 3.10 40.0% 1.00 0 Neutral
13 SD 6.75 6.75 6.75 3.23 7.7% 1.88 0 Neutral
14 BAL 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.39 3.6% 1.00 0 Neutral
15 COL 4.19 4.19 4.19 3.57 0.0% 1.63 0 Neutral
16 SEA 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.63 25.6% 0.80 0 Neutral
17 CHC 14.59 14.59 14.59 3.64 33.2% 1.89 0 Neutral
18 ATH 3.60 3.60 3.60 3.70 0.0% 1.20 0 Neutral
19 LAA 1.75 1.75 1.75 3.88 10.9% 1.46 0 Neutral
20 LAD 5.81 5.81 5.81 3.96 25.1% 1.29 0 Neutral
21 CWS 15.88 15.88 15.88 4.28 0.0% 2.94 0 Neutral
22 HOU 4.33 4.33 4.33 4.45 17.9% 1.83 0 Neutral
23 TB 1.80 1.80 1.80 4.90 10.5% 0.80 0 Neutral
24 NYM 7.20 7.20 7.20 5.50 33.3% 1.20 0 Neutral
25 TEX 9.57 9.57 9.57 5.65 31.7% 1.70 0 Neutral
26 STL 1.80 1.80 1.80 6.10 0.0% 1.80 0 Neutral
27 CLE 5.40 5.40 5.40 7.90 13.6% 1.40 0 Neutral
28 ARI 8.28 8.28 8.28 7.93 2.6% 1.38 0 Neutral
29 PIT 64.29 64.29 64.29 8.81 -12.4% 8.57 0 Neutral
30 KC 9.00 9.00 9.00 13.35 4.6% 2.50 0 Neutral
ERA Earned run average over rolling window  ·  FIP Fielding independent pitching  ·  K-BB% Strikeouts minus walks per batter — best forward ERA predictor  ·  WHIP Walks + hits per inning pitched  ·  Mom. Rank change 28d vs 7d  ·  Signal Value/Fade/Watch classification
Team batting rankings
📊 Sorted by R/G (runs per game) — most direct measure for over/under betting.
💥 OPS = on-base + slugging. Captures both contact quality and power in one number.
🎯 wRC+ = park-adjusted offensive output. 100 = league avg. 110 = 10% above avg.
📈 Momentum = 28d rank minus 7d rank. Flags lineups heating up faster than market adjusts.
🎯 Signal = Value/Fade/Watch. Value = offense trending up vs underrated schedule.
# Team 7d R/G 14d R/G 28d R/G OPS wRC+ Mom. Signal
1 MIL 14.00 14.00 14.00 1.118 227 0 Neutral
2 NYM 11.00 11.00 11.00 1.055 193 0 Neutral
3 WSH 10.00 10.00 10.00 0.918 164 0 Neutral
4 STL 9.00 9.00 9.00 0.970 177 0 Neutral
5 PIT 7.00 7.00 7.00 0.865 135 0 Neutral
6 TB 7.00 7.00 7.00 0.925 196 0 Neutral
7 DET 6.50 6.50 6.50 0.755 115 0 Neutral
8 LAD 6.50 6.50 6.50 0.869 124 0 Neutral
9 ATL 6.00 6.00 6.00 1.042 198 0 Neutral
10 NYY 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.697 101 0 Neutral
11 PHI 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.862 134 0 Neutral
12 LAA 4.50 4.50 4.50 0.846 168 0 Neutral
13 SEA 4.50 4.50 4.50 0.832 113 0 Neutral
14 CHC 4.00 4.00 4.00 0.644 89 0 Neutral
15 CLE 3.50 3.50 3.50 0.839 100 0 Neutral
16 ARI 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.587 76 0 Neutral
17 BOS 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.746 125 0 Neutral
18 TEX 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.593 65 0 Neutral
19 TOR 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.650 69 0 Neutral
20 ATH 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.456 28 0 Neutral
21 BAL 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.464 33 0 Neutral
22 CWS 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.573 71 0 Neutral
23 MIA 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.658 73 0 Neutral
24 SD 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.522 52 0 Neutral
25 COL 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.484 38 0 Neutral
26 HOU 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.474 52 0 Neutral
27 MIN 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.527 39 0 Neutral
28 CIN 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.388 -7 0 Neutral
29 KC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.432 30 0 Neutral
30 SF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.249 -48 0 Neutral
R/G Runs per game over rolling window  ·  OPS On-base plus slugging  ·  wRC+ Park-adjusted runs created (100 = league avg, higher = better)  ·  Mom. Rank change 28d vs 7d  ·  Signal Value/Fade/Watch classification

Top edge signals — data extraction
Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.

Injury & lineup log
Player Team Status Injury Impact
Mickey Moniak COL 10-day IL 10-day IL — Right ring finger sprain Colorado Rockies placed RF Mickey Moniak on the 10-day injured list retroactive
Carlos Vargas SEA 10-day IL 15-day IL — Right lat strain Seattle Mariners placed RHP Carlos Vargas on the 15-day injured list retroactive
Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app
MLB Stats Tracker
The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.
Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat
Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts (actual outings, not calendar days)
🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily
Methodology
Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats calculated from completed games only. Postponed games excluded. All three windows shown side by side so you can spot trends.
Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = team is outperforming their season baseline recently. Negative = declining. This is the core signal driver.
Schedule strength (SOS) — based on opponent quality over the window. Easy / Avg / Hard. A Value signal on a Hard schedule is stronger than one on an Easy schedule.
ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 means ERA is likely to regress down (pitcher got unlucky). Gap under -1.0 means ERA may regress up.
Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard schedule. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4. Neutral = insufficient movement.
wRC+ — park-adjusted offensive output. 100 = league average. Approximated from box score data using 2026 wOBA weights.
Data sources — MLB Stats API (games, box scores, transactions). Stats API is unofficial but stable.
V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.
Compass publishes statistical analysis and data signals for informational purposes only. Nothing in this newsletter constitutes betting advice or a recommendation to wager. Sports betting involves significant financial risk — please gamble responsibly.