Compass — April 2, 2026

Game Recaps

New York Mets (NYM) @ San Francisco Giants (SF)

Oracle Park

NYM

SF

NYM Starter

David Peterson

4.3 IP · 9 H · 5 ER · 5 K · 2 BB · 68 PC

NYM Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

SF Starter

Robbie Ray

5.3 IP · 3 H · 2 ER · 7 K · 3 BB · 96 PC

SF Batters

Rafael Devers 2-5 (1 HR, 1 RBI)

Casey Schmitt 3-3 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Daniel Susac 3-3 (1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Minnesota Twins (MIN) @ Kansas City Royals (KC)

Kauffman Stadium

MIN

KC

MIN Starter

Taj Bradley

6.0 IP · 5 H · 0 ER · 3 K · 1 BB · 100 PC

MIN Batters

Kody Clemens 2-3 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Luke Keaschall 2-4

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

KC Starter

Cole Ragans

6.0 IP · 4 H · 0 ER · 8 K · 1 BB · 89 PC

KC Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Atlanta Braves (ATL) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Chase Field

ATL

ARI

ATL Starter

Reynaldo López

5.0 IP · 4 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 1 BB · 79 PC

ATL Batters

Matt Olson 3-5 (1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 BB)

Mauricio Dubón 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Michael Harris II 2-6 (2 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

ARI Starter

Ryne Nelson

4.7 IP · 3 H · 2 ER · 3 K · 3 BB · 80 PC

ARI Batters

Ildemaro Vargas 2-2 (1 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Rolling Performance Tables

Bullpen Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.

⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.

🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K%	Mom.	Signal
1	MIA	0.51	0.51	0.51	0.90	38.6%	0	Neutral
2	MIL	0.83	1.05	1.05	2.22	32.9%	0	Neutral
3	NYM	1.08	1.86	1.86	3.78	22.6%	+3	Watch
4	ATL	1.42	1.42	1.42	2.15	24.2%	-1	Neutral
5	SEA	1.83	2.69	2.69	2.64	28.9%	+5	Neutral
6	NYY	2.11	1.82	1.82	1.87	25.2%	-2	Neutral
7	TEX	2.14	1.85	1.85	3.39	22.5%	-2	Neutral
8	LAA	2.41	2.13	2.13	3.14	24.5%	-1	Neutral
9	ATH	2.51	2.51	2.51	3.46	15.7%	0	Neutral
10	PIT	2.65	3.90	3.90	4.62	31.3%	+5	Neutral
11	LAD	2.74	2.38	2.38	3.00	23.0%	-3	Watch
12	CHC	3.12	3.19	3.19	3.50	27.4%	0	Neutral
13	CIN	3.19	3.87	3.87	4.21	26.1%	+1	Neutral
14	SF	3.41	2.87	2.87	4.85	24.3%	-3	Watch
15	SD	3.68	3.54	3.54	2.01	26.4%	-2	Neutral
16	STL	3.68	5.21	5.21	3.24	15.8%	+6	Neutral
17	HOU	3.91	4.29	4.29	5.19	37.5%	+1	Neutral
18	COL	4.15	4.15	4.15	3.98	21.7%	-1	Neutral
19	CLE	4.48	4.14	4.14	4.46	23.9%	-3	Watch
20	WSH	5.14	4.45	4.45	7.24	12.8%	-1	Neutral
21	BAL	5.17	5.11	5.11	4.20	30.2%	0	Neutral
22	BOS	5.21	4.50	4.50	7.26	21.8%	-2	Neutral
23	MIN	5.29	5.47	5.47	4.86	26.6%	0	Neutral
24	PHI	6.09	6.46	6.46	2.57	22.8%	+1	Neutral
25	DET	6.47	5.86	5.86	4.61	25.1%	-1	Neutral
26	TB	6.51	9.18	9.18	6.05	19.3%	+4	Watch
27	TOR	6.55	6.55	6.55	3.75	28.0%	-1	Neutral
28	CWS	7.50	9.18	9.18	4.77	24.3%	+1	Neutral
29	ARI	8.30	8.41	8.41	4.70	18.4%	-2	Neutral
30	KC	9.00	9.00	9.00	7.15	21.3%	-2	Neutral

SP Rotation Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.

⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.

🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.

🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K-BB%	WHIP	Mom.	Signal
1	NYY	0.66	0.54	0.54	1.37	25.6%	0.74	0	Neutral
2	TOR	1.75	1.75	1.75	1.68	39.4%	0.62	0	Neutral
3	SEA	3.06	3.33	3.33	2.42	22.5%	0.91	0	Neutral
4	PIT	1.76	3.42	3.42	2.55	12.4%	1.09	+1	Neutral
5	NYM	3.42	3.93	3.93	2.91	16.6%	1.39	+5	Value
6	SF	2.82	3.90	3.90	2.94	16.0%	1.13	-2	Neutral
7	CHC	2.27	3.73	3.73	3.03	17.6%	0.90	0	Neutral
8	MIA	3.97	3.97	3.97	3.04	20.7%	0.99	-2	Neutral
9	TEX	4.88	5.64	5.64	3.23	21.8%	1.21	+6	Value
10	CLE	3.60	3.86	3.86	3.27	14.6%	1.33	+14	Neutral
11	LAD	3.20	3.16	3.16	3.30	14.6%	1.07	0	Neutral
12	MIN	4.25	3.46	3.46	3.44	11.8%	1.37	-4	Watch
13	TB	3.71	3.41	3.41	3.55	15.4%	0.90	+5	Value
14	STL	3.81	3.48	3.48	3.56	4.5%	1.27	+7	Neutral
15	COL	3.16	3.16	3.16	3.57	10.8%	1.33	-2	Neutral
16	KC	1.62	1.62	1.62	3.64	16.4%	1.02	0	Neutral
17	BAL	4.88	3.77	3.77	3.68	10.3%	1.46	-3	Watch
18	ATL	2.39	2.39	2.39	3.84	11.9%	1.01	+2	Neutral
19	LAA	6.85	5.62	5.62	3.90	7.6%	1.78	-2	Neutral
20	PHI	5.82	4.74	4.74	3.97	16.8%	1.52	-11	Neutral
21	ARI	3.15	3.81	3.81	3.99	13.4%	1.05	+5	Neutral
22	DET	3.33	2.73	2.73	4.06	9.4%	1.33	-10	Fade
23	SD	2.74	4.50	4.50	4.10	14.3%	1.26	-1	Neutral
24	HOU	5.50	4.78	4.78	4.13	13.3%	1.35	-5	Fade
25	CWS	7.47	8.08	8.08	4.34	10.6%	1.80	+2	Neutral
26	WSH	3.68	3.85	3.85	4.46	15.4%	1.14	-1	Neutral
27	BOS	6.57	5.22	5.22	4.82	14.7%	1.67	-4	Watch
28	ATH	6.02	6.02	6.02	5.67	0.8%	1.67	+2	Neutral
29	CIN	5.53	4.44	4.44	5.72	12.4%	1.31	-1	Neutral
30	MIL	5.02	4.45	4.45	6.19	19.8%	1.33	-1	Neutral

Team Batting Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.

💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.

🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.

🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.

#	Team	7d R/G	14d	28d	OPS	wRC+	Mom.	Signal
1	HOU	7.50	6.43	6.43	0.725	147	+1	Neutral
2	MIL	6.20	7.50	7.50	0.897	120	-1	Neutral
3	ATL	5.86	5.86	5.86	0.831	134	+1	Neutral
4	TEX	5.80	5.33	5.33	0.707	112	+2	Neutral
5	WSH	5.60	6.33	6.33	0.792	114	-2	Neutral
6	MIA	5.50	5.50	5.50	0.762	128	-1	Neutral
7	CHC	5.20	5.00	5.00	0.702	99	0	Neutral
8	MIN	5.00	4.33	4.33	0.634	108	+5	Value
9	BAL	4.80	4.33	4.33	0.628	117	+3	Watch
10	LAA	4.67	4.43	4.43	0.814	98	+1	Neutral
11	TB	4.60	5.00	5.00	0.760	96	-3	Watch
12	PIT	4.40	4.83	4.83	0.697	104	-3	Watch
13	ARI	4.17	3.86	3.86	0.674	97	+4	Watch
14	COL	4.00	4.00	4.00	0.596	65	0	Neutral
15	STL	4.00	4.83	4.83	0.740	69	-5	Fade
16	TOR	3.86	3.86	3.86	0.762	121	+3	Watch
17	KC	3.83	3.83	3.83	0.565	94	+3	Watch
18	SEA	3.83	3.86	3.86	0.745	78	0	Neutral
19	PHI	3.60	3.83	3.83	0.611	75	+3	Watch
20	SF	3.50	3.00	3.00	0.471	90	+7	Neutral
21	CIN	3.40	2.83	2.83	0.616	87	+9	Neutral
22	NYY	3.40	4.00	4.00	0.662	73	-6	Fade
23	SD	3.40	3.17	3.17	0.541	73	+1	Neutral
24	DET	3.20	4.00	4.00	0.621	49	-9	Fade
25	CWS	3.17	3.00	3.00	0.668	75	+1	Neutral
26	LAD	3.00	3.83	3.83	0.730	82	-5	Fade
27	ATH	2.83	2.83	2.83	0.515	49	+1	Neutral
28	BOS	2.80	2.83	2.83	0.681	61	+1	Neutral
29	CLE	2.67	3.14	3.14	0.635	41	-4	Watch
30	NYM	2.33	3.57	3.57	0.710	54	-7	Fade

Top Edge Signals

Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.

Injury & Lineup Log

Player	Team	Status	Injury	Impact
J.P. Crawford	SEA	10-day IL	10-day IL — Seattle Mariners activated SS J	Seattle Mariners activated SS J.P. Crawford from the 10-day injured list.
José Buttó	SF	10-day IL	15-day IL — Right arm fatigue	San Francisco Giants placed RHP José Buttó on the 15-day injured list. Right arm fatigue.
Jose Quintana	COL	10-day IL	15-day IL — Right hamstring strain	Colorado Rockies placed LHP Jose Quintana on the 15-day injured list retroactive to March 30, 2026. Right hamstring strain.
David Festa	MIN	60-day IL	60-day IL — Right shoulder impingement	Minnesota Twins transferred RHP David Festa from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right shoulder impingement.

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MLB Stats Tracker

The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.

⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat

⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts

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Methodology

Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.

Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.

Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.

ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.

Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.

V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.