Compass — April 4, 2026

Game Recaps

Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) @ Washington Nationals (WSH)

Nationals Park

LAD

WSH

LAD Starter

Tyler Glasnow

6.0 IP · 4 H · 2 ER · 9 K · 2 BB · 101 PC

LAD Batters

Andy Pages 3-5 (1 HR, 3 RBI)

Will Smith 3-5 (1 R)

Freddie Freeman 2-5 (4 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

WSH Starter

Jake Irvin

4.0 IP · 8 H · 6 ER · 4 K · 2 BB · 85 PC

WSH Batters

Luis García Jr. 3-4 (1 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Cincinnati Reds (CIN) @ Texas Rangers (TEX)

Globe Life Field

CIN

TEX

CIN Starter

Rhett Lowder

6.0 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 4 K · 2 BB · 82 PC

CIN Batters

Sal Stewart 2-4 (1 RBI)

Matt McLain 2-4 (1 R)

Spencer Steer 2-4

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

TEX Starter

Kumar Rocker

5.0 IP · 6 H · 2 ER · 3 K · 1 BB · 80 PC

TEX Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

New York Mets (NYM) @ San Francisco Giants (SF)

Oracle Park

NYM

SF

NYM Starter

Clay Holmes

7.0 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 4 K · 2 BB · 90 PC

NYM Batters

Tyrone Taylor 2-3 (1 HR, 4 RBI)

Mark Vientos 3-5 (1 RBI)

Bo Bichette 2-5 (1 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

SF Starter

Landen Roupp

4.7 IP · 7 H · 5 ER · 7 K · 1 BB · 95 PC

SF Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Baltimore Orioles (BAL) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)

PNC Park

BAL

PIT

BAL Starter

Shane Baz

5.7 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 5 K · 3 BB · 98 PC

BAL Batters

Adley Rutschman 2-4 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

PIT Starter

Carmen Mlodzinski

4.7 IP · 5 H · 2 ER · 5 K · 3 BB · 84 PC

PIT Batters

Bryan Reynolds 2-4 (2 R, 1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Miami Marlins (MIA) @ New York Yankees (NYY)

Yankee Stadium

MIA

NYY

MIA Starter

Max Meyer

4.7 IP · 3 H · 2 ER · 6 K · 3 BB · 89 PC

MIA Batters

Xavier Edwards 3-4 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Javier Sanoja 2-5 (2 RBI)

Agustín Ramírez 2-3 (1 RBI, 2 BB)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

NYY Starter

Ryan Weathers

3.7 IP · 6 H · 3 ER · 4 K · 3 BB · 88 PC

NYY Batters

Aaron Judge 2-4 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Tampa Bay Rays (TB) @ Minnesota Twins (MIN)

Target Field

TB

MIN

TB Starter

Steven Matz

6.0 IP · 2 H · 1 ER · 8 K · 2 BB · 97 PC

TB Batters

Cedric Mullins 2-5 (2 R)

Chandler Simpson 2-5 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

MIN Starter

Mick Abel

4.0 IP · 6 H · 4 ER · 3 K · 3 BB · 84 PC

MIN Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Seattle Mariners (SEA) @ Los Angeles Angels (LAA)

Angel Stadium

SEA

LAA

SEA Starter

Emerson Hancock

6.7 IP · 6 H · 1 ER · 5 K · 0 BB · 82 PC

SEA Batters

Julio Rodríguez 2-4

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

LAA Starter

Jack Kochanowicz

5.7 IP · 4 H · 0 ER · 7 K · 2 BB · 86 PC

LAA Batters

Zach Neto 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Milwaukee Brewers (MIL) @ Kansas City Royals (KC)

Kauffman Stadium

MIL

KC

MIL Starter

Chad Patrick

5.0 IP · 4 H · 0 ER · 3 K · 3 BB · 86 PC

MIL Batters

Garrett Mitchell 2-4 (1 HR, 5 RBI)

Luis Rengifo 2-5 (1 R)

Christian Yelich 2-5 (2 R)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

KC Starter

Luinder Avila

3.0 IP · 8 H · 5 ER · 4 K · 3 BB · 73 PC

KC Batters

Jac Caglianone 2-3 (1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

St. Louis Cardinals (STL) @ Detroit Tigers (DET)

Comerica Park

STL

DET

STL Starter

Dustin May

3.3 IP · 7 H · 7 ER · 4 K · 2 BB · 79 PC

STL Batters

Jordan Walker 3-4 (1 HR, 5 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

DET Starter

Jack Flaherty

4.0 IP · 3 H · 5 ER · 6 K · 4 BB · 86 PC

DET Batters

Zach McKinstry 2-4 (1 HR, 3 RBI)

Gleyber Torres 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Colt Keith 2-2 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Philadelphia Phillies (PHI) @ Colorado Rockies (COL)

Coors Field

PHI

COL

PHI Starter

Jesús Luzardo

6.7 IP · 5 H · 1 ER · 11 K · 0 BB · 99 PC

PHI Batters

Trea Turner 2-4 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

COL Starter

Brennan Bernardino

0.7 IP · 1 H · 1 ER · 0 K · 2 BB · 21 PC

COL Batters

Brett Sullivan 2-3 (1 RBI)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Toronto Blue Jays (TOR) @ Chicago White Sox (CWS)

Rate Field

TOR

CWS

TOR Starter

Mason Fluharty

1.0 IP · 2 H · 1 ER · 0 K · 1 BB · 20 PC

TOR Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

CWS Starter

Grant Taylor

1.0 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 1 K · 0 BB · 9 PC

CWS Batters

Miguel Vargas 2-2 (2 R, 2 BB)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

San Diego Padres (SD) @ Boston Red Sox (BOS)

Fenway Park

SD

BOS

SD Starter

Randy Vásquez

6.0 IP · 6 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 1 BB · 83 PC

SD Batters

Miguel Andujar 3-5 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

BOS Starter

Connelly Early

4.0 IP · 3 H · 2 ER · 4 K · 4 BB · 88 PC

BOS Batters

Roman Anthony 2-4

Ceddanne Rafaela 2-3 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Houston Astros (HOU) @ Athletics (ATH)

Sutter Health Park

HOU

ATH

HOU Starter

Tatsuya Imai

5.7 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 9 K · 3 BB · 94 PC

HOU Batters

Christian Walker 3-5 (1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 BB)

Joey Loperfido 3-4 (2 RBI, 2 BB)

Yainer Diaz 3-5 (2 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

ATH Starter

Luis Morales

3.0 IP · 8 H · 5 ER · 0 K · 6 BB · 77 PC

ATH Batters

Max Muncy 2-4

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Atlanta Braves (ATL) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Chase Field

ATL

ARI

ATL Starter

Bryce Elder

7.0 IP · 4 H · 0 ER · 8 K · 1 BB · 89 PC

ATL Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Data pending — rolling signal analysis available above.

ARI Starter

Michael Soroka

5.0 IP · 4 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 3 BB · 91 PC

ARI Batters

Gabriel Moreno 2-3 (1 R)

Insight

Data pending — check injury log for lineup impact.

Rolling Performance Tables

Bullpen Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.

⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.

🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K%	Mom.	Signal
1	SEA	0.53	2.27	2.27	1.16	38.3%	+6	Value
2	ATL	1.16	1.23	1.23	2.37	21.2%	-1	Neutral
3	NYM	1.43	1.81	1.81	3.74	22.3%	0	Neutral
4	MIL	1.71	1.52	1.52	2.29	31.8%	-2	Neutral
5	PIT	2.28	3.60	3.60	4.15	30.9%	+9	Value
6	LAA	2.57	2.25	2.25	2.96	22.8%	0	Neutral
7	CIN	2.79	3.31	3.31	4.03	22.7%	+3	Watch
8	TEX	2.86	2.01	2.01	3.87	19.8%	-4	Watch
9	SD	3.10	3.51	3.51	1.82	30.0%	+3	Watch
10	STL	3.46	5.31	5.31	4.64	15.0%	+14	Value
11	COL	3.55	3.13	3.13	3.65	26.6%	-3	Watch
12	NYY	3.62	2.21	2.21	1.72	23.6%	-7	Fade
13	CLE	3.84	3.62	3.62	3.16	24.6%	+2	Neutral
14	MIA	3.86	3.24	3.24	3.10	33.3%	-5	Fade
15	ATH	3.90	4.22	4.22	3.81	17.4%	+3	Watch
16	CHC	4.17	3.65	3.65	4.35	24.3%	0	Neutral
17	HOU	4.32	4.64	4.64	4.76	33.8%	+3	Watch
18	WSH	4.55	4.75	4.75	6.57	13.5%	+3	Watch
19	BOS	4.78	3.60	3.60	5.61	22.7%	-6	Neutral
20	KC	5.29	6.84	6.84	6.31	26.2%	+7	Value
21	BAL	5.43	4.88	4.88	4.74	26.0%	+2	Neutral
22	MIN	5.62	4.87	4.87	4.64	19.6%	0	Neutral
23	PHI	5.65	5.33	5.33	2.52	25.8%	+2	Neutral
24	SF	5.65	4.04	4.04	4.94	23.6%	-7	Fade
25	LAD	5.72	3.41	3.41	3.97	21.4%	-14	Fade
26	TOR	5.90	5.98	5.98	4.04	25.0%	0	Neutral
27	CWS	6.62	7.81	7.81	5.44	18.5%	+2	Neutral
28	DET	6.78	4.46	4.46	6.39	17.4%	-9	Neutral
29	TB	7.58	9.25	9.25	6.52	20.2%	+1	Neutral
30	ARI	7.98	7.35	7.35	4.82	23.4%	-2	Neutral

SP Rotation Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.

⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.

🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.

🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K-BB%	WHIP	Mom.	Signal
1	PHI	4.20	3.77	3.77	2.17	23.1%	1.28	+2	Neutral
2	HOU	4.19	4.98	4.98	2.37	15.4%	1.33	+15	Neutral
3	TOR	2.18	1.97	1.97	2.42	28.3%	0.78	-2	Neutral
4	CLE	2.71	3.57	3.57	2.46	18.0%	1.16	+17	Value
5	NYY	2.00	1.47	1.47	2.51	22.6%	0.93	-3	Watch
6	SEA	2.43	2.65	2.65	2.51	20.4%	0.84	-2	Neutral
7	CHC	2.01	3.61	3.61	2.79	17.0%	0.94	+3	Watch
8	NYM	3.03	3.13	3.13	2.84	16.3%	1.14	0	Neutral
9	PIT	2.67	3.41	3.41	2.93	9.0%	1.42	-4	Watch
10	BAL	4.66	3.76	3.76	2.96	11.4%	1.55	+3	Watch
11	TB	3.38	3.14	3.14	3.13	18.8%	1.00	-2	Neutral
12	KC	2.40	2.73	2.73	3.18	14.6%	1.18	+10	Value
13	ARI	2.14	3.04	3.04	3.25	11.1%	1.01	+10	Value
14	ATL	2.09	1.78	1.78	3.26	14.5%	0.93	0	Neutral
15	SF	4.46	5.02	5.02	3.41	15.0%	1.33	-9	Fade
16	TEX	5.23	5.21	5.21	3.45	23.1%	1.32	0	Neutral
17	LAD	2.92	3.56	3.56	3.57	10.5%	1.12	-5	Fade
18	MIN	5.67	4.43	4.43	3.77	6.6%	1.52	-11	Fade
19	MIA	5.52	4.40	4.40	3.81	16.0%	1.23	-1	Neutral
20	DET	4.04	3.14	3.14	3.89	12.5%	1.20	-9	Fade
21	LAA	4.65	4.11	4.11	3.94	2.9%	1.52	-6	Fade
22	BOS	5.53	4.81	4.81	4.19	11.5%	1.47	-3	Watch
23	SD	4.56	4.30	4.30	4.49	12.4%	1.44	-3	Watch
24	CIN	4.01	3.70	3.70	4.56	12.2%	1.18	+1	Neutral
25	STL	6.75	5.08	5.08	4.71	6.1%	1.68	+1	Neutral
26	CWS	7.22	7.75	7.75	4.81	9.2%	1.66	-2	Neutral
27	COL	6.09	5.84	5.84	4.98	6.0%	1.79	0	Neutral
28	WSH	7.83	7.41	7.41	5.51	15.8%	1.50	0	Neutral
29	MIL	4.50	3.78	3.78	5.89	16.4%	1.33	0	Neutral
30	ATH	7.03	6.02	6.02	6.26	1.6%	1.88	0	Neutral

Team Batting Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.

💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.

🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.

🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.

#	Team	7d R/G	14d	28d	OPS	wRC+	Mom.	Signal
1	HOU	7.83	6.67	6.67	0.803	167	0	Neutral
2	WSH	6.17	6.12	6.12	0.797	122	+1	Neutral
3	LAD	6.00	5.75	5.75	0.742	148	+1	Neutral
4	MIA	6.00	5.25	5.25	0.801	130	+1	Neutral
5	NYY	5.60	5.12	5.12	0.661	96	+1	Neutral
6	MIN	5.33	4.62	4.62	0.675	101	+5	Value
7	DET	5.20	4.88	4.88	0.633	115	+3	Watch
8	MIL	5.00	6.25	6.25	0.865	121	-6	Fade
9	BAL	4.83	4.00	4.00	0.682	124	+7	Value
10	TB	4.83	5.12	5.12	0.758	104	-3	Watch
11	PIT	4.67	4.62	4.62	0.697	104	+1	Neutral
12	ATL	4.57	4.89	4.89	0.774	99	-4	Watch
13	TEX	4.50	4.38	4.38	0.720	88	+2	Neutral
14	PHI	4.33	4.38	4.38	0.646	103	-1	Neutral
15	NYM	4.14	4.89	4.89	0.696	92	-6	Fade
16	CWS	4.00	3.38	3.38	0.668	82	+5	Value
17	KC	3.83	3.12	3.12	0.640	116	+8	Value
18	SF	3.83	2.67	2.67	0.563	81	+12	Neutral
19	COL	3.67	3.25	3.25	0.623	52	+4	Watch
20	ARI	3.50	3.22	3.22	0.682	79	+4	Watch
21	SD	3.40	3.00	3.00	0.543	57	+7	Neutral
22	STL	3.33	4.38	4.38	0.706	74	-8	Fade
23	ATH	3.17	3.50	3.50	0.550	77	-3	Watch
24	TOR	3.17	3.75	3.75	0.769	110	-6	Fade
25	CIN	3.00	3.00	3.00	0.626	78	+2	Neutral
26	CHC	2.83	3.88	3.88	0.681	73	-9	Fade
27	BOS	2.67	3.00	3.00	0.667	65	-1	Neutral
28	SEA	2.67	3.33	3.33	0.694	56	-6	Fade
29	LAA	2.50	3.67	3.67	0.723	37	-10	Fade
30	CLE	2.17	2.89	2.89	0.609	64	-1	Neutral

Top Edge Signals

Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.

Injury & Lineup Log

Player	Team	Status	Injury	Impact
Blaine Crim	COL	10-day IL	10-day IL	Colorado Rockies activated 1B Blaine Crim from the 10-day injured list.
McCade Brown	COL	60-day IL	60-day IL — Right shoulder inflammation	Colorado Rockies transferred RHP McCade Brown from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right shoulder inflammation.
Alejandro Kirk	TOR	10-day IL	10-day IL — Left thumb fracture	Toronto Blue Jays placed C Alejandro Kirk on the 10-day injured list. Left thumb fracture.
Justin Verlander	DET	10-day IL	15-day IL — Left hip inflammation	Detroit Tigers placed RHP Justin Verlander on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 1, 2026. Left hip inflammation.
Zac Veen	COL	10-day IL	10-day IL	Colorado Rockies activated LF Zac Veen from the 10-day injured list.

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MLB Stats Tracker

The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.

⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat

⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts

🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily

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Methodology

Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.

Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.

Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.

ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.

Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.

V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.