Wednesday, April 8
15 games · full slate
Game Recaps
St. Louis Cardinals (STL)
@
Washington Nationals (WSH)
Nationals Park
STL
6
WSH
1
Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)
@
Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)
Rogers Centre
LAD
3
TOR
4
Seattle Mariners (SEA)
@
Texas Rangers (TEX)
Globe Life Field
SEA
0
TEX
3
Chicago Cubs (CHC)
@
Tampa Bay Rays (TB)
Tropicana Field
CHC
6
TB
2
Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)
@
San Francisco Giants (SF)
Oracle Park
PHI
0
SF
5
San Diego Padres (SD)
@
Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)
PNC Park
SD
8
PIT
2
Athletics (ATH)
@
New York Yankees (NYY)
Yankee Stadium
ATH
3
NYY
2
Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)
@
New York Mets (NYM)
Citi Field
ARI
7
NYM
2
Detroit Tigers (DET)
@
Minnesota Twins (MIN)
Target Field
DET
6
MIN
8
Cincinnati Reds (CIN)
@
Miami Marlins (MIA)
loanDepot park
CIN
4
MIA
7
Atlanta Braves (ATL)
@
Los Angeles Angels (LAA)
Angel Stadium
ATL
8
LAA
2
Houston Astros (HOU)
@
Colorado Rockies (COL)
Coors Field
HOU
1
COL
9
Kansas City Royals (KC)
@
Cleveland Guardians (CLE)
Progressive Field
KC
2
CLE
10
Baltimore Orioles (BAL)
@
Chicago White Sox (CWS)
Rate Field
BAL
5
CWS
3
Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)
@
Boston Red Sox (BOS)
Fenway Park
MIL
0
BOS
5
Rolling Performance Tables
Bullpen Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.
⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.
🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 0.50 | 1.04 | +17 | Value |
| 2 | ATL | 0.79 | 1.69 | -1 | Neutral |
| 3 | CIN | 0.81 | 3.37 | +3 | Watch |
| 4 | SEA | 1.10 | 1.93 | 0 | Neutral |
| 5 | TEX | 1.23 | 2.78 | -3 | Watch |
| 6 | DET | 1.64 | 3.60 | +8 | Value |
| 7 | NYM | 1.64 | 3.01 | -4 | Watch |
| 8 | COL | 1.67 | 1.88 | 0 | Neutral |
| 9 | CLE | 2.05 | 2.87 | +3 | Watch |
| 10 | BAL | 2.29 | 3.65 | +6 | Neutral |
| 11 | BOS | 2.99 | 3.22 | +6 | Value |
| 12 | SD | 3.33 | 2.82 | +1 | Neutral |
| 13 | CWS | 3.51 | 4.52 | +12 | Neutral |
| 14 | NYY | 3.71 | 1.76 | -7 | Neutral |
| 15 | MIL | 3.81 | 4.05 | -10 | Fade |
| 16 | PIT | 3.91 | 2.62 | +3 | Watch |
| 17 | MIN | 4.09 | 3.71 | +4 | Watch |
| 18 | CHC | 4.13 | 4.58 | -3 | Watch |
| 19 | LAD | 4.20 | 3.57 | -9 | Fade |
| 20 | LAA | 4.39 | 4.08 | -9 | Fade |
| 21 | TB | 4.74 | 4.60 | +7 | Value |
| 22 | MIA | 5.15 | 4.60 | -13 | Fade |
| 23 | SF | 5.15 | 3.80 | -3 | Watch |
| 24 | STL | 5.45 | 6.35 | -1 | Neutral |
| 25 | ARI | 5.82 | 4.78 | -1 | Neutral |
| 26 | TOR | 5.87 | 5.24 | 0 | Neutral |
| 27 | KC | 6.14 | 5.47 | +2 | Neutral |
| 28 | ATH | 7.88 | 6.10 | -6 | Neutral |
| 29 | WSH | 8.07 | 7.58 | -2 | Neutral |
| 30 | HOU | 10.04 | 7.29 | 0 | Neutral |
SP Rotation Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.
⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.
🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.
🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYM | 4.50 | 2.38 | +5 | Neutral |
| 2 | CLE | 1.31 | 2.44 | +12 | Neutral |
| 3 | CWS | 1.08 | 2.44 | +14 | Neutral |
| 4 | MIN | 3.10 | 2.65 | +1 | Neutral |
| 5 | SD | 3.85 | 2.67 | +5 | Value |
| 6 | TEX | 2.53 | 2.69 | +3 | Watch |
| 7 | SEA | 2.47 | 2.72 | -4 | Watch |
| 8 | CIN | 2.84 | 2.88 | +15 | Neutral |
| 9 | PIT | 2.43 | 2.89 | -5 | Fade |
| 10 | LAA | 3.33 | 2.91 | +1 | Neutral |
| 11 | BOS | 3.91 | 2.97 | +4 | Watch |
| 12 | PHI | 4.09 | 3.07 | -4 | Watch |
| 13 | BAL | 4.55 | 3.10 | 0 | Neutral |
| 14 | DET | 7.63 | 3.14 | -2 | Neutral |
| 15 | NYY | 4.53 | 3.14 | -14 | Neutral |
| 16 | TB | 4.30 | 3.30 | 0 | Neutral |
| 17 | HOU | 5.62 | 3.39 | +3 | Watch |
| 18 | SF | 3.79 | 3.42 | -11 | Fade |
| 19 | MIL | 4.12 | 3.43 | +8 | Neutral |
| 20 | KC | 4.60 | 3.65 | +4 | Watch |
| 21 | ATL | 3.05 | 3.93 | 0 | Neutral |
| 22 | LAD | 3.74 | 3.96 | -4 | Watch |
| 23 | TOR | 5.29 | 4.15 | -21 | Neutral |
| 24 | ARI | 2.24 | 4.22 | -2 | Neutral |
| 25 | CHC | 1.54 | 4.38 | -6 | Fade |
| 26 | MIA | 4.46 | 5.01 | -1 | Neutral |
| 27 | ATH | 4.64 | 5.25 | +3 | Watch |
| 28 | COL | 5.67 | 5.36 | -2 | Neutral |
| 29 | WSH | 7.62 | 5.45 | 0 | Neutral |
| 30 | STL | 5.90 | 5.48 | -2 | Neutral |
Team Batting Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.
💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.
🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.
🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.
| # | Team | 7d R/G | OPS | wRC+ | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAD | 8.67 | 0.838 | 174 | 0 | Neutral |
| 2 | ATL | 6.00 | 0.764 | 111 | +3 | Watch |
| 3 | NYY | 6.00 | 0.703 | 113 | +5 | Value |
| 4 | ATH | 5.80 | 0.636 | 132 | +12 | Value |
| 5 | HOU | 5.67 | 0.852 | 133 | -3 | Watch |
| 6 | WSH | 5.50 | 0.785 | 118 | -3 | Watch |
| 7 | NYM | 5.33 | 0.697 | 114 | +3 | Watch |
| 8 | MIN | 5.14 | 0.671 | 96 | +1 | Neutral |
| 9 | STL | 5.00 | 0.655 | 105 | -2 | Neutral |
| 10 | COL | 4.83 | 0.632 | 105 | +3 | Watch |
| 11 | DET | 4.83 | 0.685 | 118 | +3 | Watch |
| 12 | BOS | 4.50 | 0.668 | 82 | +9 | Value |
| 13 | SD | 4.50 | 0.595 | 80 | +5 | Value |
| 14 | MIA | 4.33 | 0.774 | 88 | -8 | Fade |
| 15 | PIT | 4.17 | 0.722 | 104 | -3 | Watch |
| 16 | TB | 4.17 | 0.730 | 88 | -5 | Fade |
| 17 | SF | 3.86 | 0.592 | 83 | +8 | Value |
| 18 | MIL | 3.83 | 0.804 | 100 | -14 | Fade |
| 19 | CHC | 3.50 | 0.651 | 70 | -4 | Watch |
| 20 | CIN | 3.50 | 0.625 | 72 | +4 | Watch |
| 21 | ARI | 3.33 | 0.648 | 54 | -2 | Neutral |
| 22 | LAA | 3.33 | 0.639 | 58 | -5 | Fade |
| 23 | BAL | 3.17 | 0.698 | 89 | -3 | Watch |
| 24 | PHI | 3.17 | 0.697 | 74 | -1 | Neutral |
| 25 | CLE | 3.00 | 0.633 | 115 | +1 | Neutral |
| 26 | CWS | 2.50 | 0.624 | 71 | +4 | Watch |
| 27 | SEA | 2.17 | 0.617 | 41 | +1 | Neutral |
| 28 | KC | 2.14 | 0.694 | 79 | -1 | Neutral |
| 29 | TEX | 2.00 | 0.693 | 50 | -7 | Fade |
| 30 | TOR | 1.67 | 0.684 | 54 | -1 | Neutral |
Top Edge Signals
Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.
Strongest signal
DET
Value
VALUE: The Detroit bullpen has been lights out over the past week, giving up almost no runs. That kind of relief performance can carry a team through close games. Back Detroit when the game is on the line late.
LAA
Fade
FADE: The Angels bullpen has been giving up runs at a concerning rate this week, and the team has been losing more than winning lately. There's no real reason to trust this group to hold leads right now. Avoid backing the Angels in close games.
LAD
Fade
FADE: The Dodgers bullpen has struggled badly this week despite a softer schedule, which is a red flag. The team has been trending in the wrong direction overall. Avoid counting on Los Angeles relievers to close games out right now.
MIA
Fade
FADE: Miami's bullpen has been a disaster this week, allowing over 5 runs per 9 innings and walking way too many hitters. The team has been on a rough losing streak on top of it. Stay away from the Marlins pen until things settle down.
CHC
Fade
FADE: Chicago's starters look great on the surface with a low ERA, but they haven't been missing many bats and the schedule has been easy. The numbers are probably better than the actual pitching right now. Avoid backing CHC starters until we see this hold up against tougher competition.
SD
Value
VALUE: San Diego's starters have been pitching really well this week and the team has been winning. They've been doing a great job of keeping hitters off balance and limiting big innings. Back the Padres rotation while this momentum is rolling.
SF
Fade
FADE: San Francisco's starters looked solid over a longer stretch but have slipped this past week, and the team has been losing a lot lately. The rotation hasn't been sharp enough recently to trust. Fade the Giants starters until they show some consistency again.
ATH
Value
VALUE: The Athletics offense has been one of the hottest in baseball lately, scoring nearly 6 runs a game and hitting the ball hard. They're doing this against a tough schedule, which makes it even more impressive. Back Oakland while the bats are this hot.
BOS
Value
VALUE: Boston's offense has been picking up steam lately and the team has been on a positive run. They've been scoring enough to stay competitive most nights. Keep an eye on the Red Sox lineup as they build some confidence at the plate.
MIA
Fade
FADE: Miami's lineup has been trending downward and they're not scoring enough runs to win games consistently. The offense looked better over a longer stretch but has cooled off recently. Fade the Marlins bats until they show they can put runs on the board again.
Injury & Lineup Log
| Player | Team | Status | Injury | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | TB | 10-day IL | IL | Tampa Bay Rays placed RHP Drew Rasmussen on the paternity list. |
| Brooks Baldwin | CWS | 60-day IL | 60-day IL — Right elbow sprain | Chicago White Sox transferred LF Brooks Baldwin from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right elbow sprain. |
| Victor Robles | SEA | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Right pec strain | Seattle Mariners placed RF Victor Robles on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 7, 2026. Right pec strain. |
| Jose Trevino | CIN | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Thoracic spine strain | Cincinnati Reds placed C Jose Trevino on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 5, 2026. Thoracic spine strain. |
Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app
MLB Stats Tracker
The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.
⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat
⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts
🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily
Methodology
Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.
Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.
Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.
ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.
Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.
V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.
Compass publishes statistical analysis and data signals for informational purposes only. Nothing in this newsletter constitutes betting advice or a recommendation to wager. Sports betting involves significant financial risk — please gamble responsibly.