Compass — April 9, 2026

Game Recaps

Colorado Rockies (COL) @ San Diego Padres (SD)

Petco Park

COL

SD

COL Starter

Jimmy Herget

1.0 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 0 K · 0 BB · 10 PC

COL Batters

Brenton Doyle 2-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Edouard Julien 2-3

Ezequiel Tovar 2-5

Insight

Colorado got some hits on the board but couldn't keep up, dropping this one 7-3. Brenton Doyle provided the only real pop with a solo home run.

SD Starter

Randy Vásquez

5.7 IP · 7 H · 1 ER · 8 K · 0 BB · 92 PC

SD Batters

Xander Bogaerts 2-6 (1 HR, 4 RBI)

Gavin Sheets 2-5

Insight

Randy Vásquez has been on a roll — he's given up just 1 run across his last two starts, and tonight he kept it going with another gem, allowing just 1 run in nearly 6 innings. Xander Bogaerts did the heavy lifting at the plate, going 2-for-6 with a homer and 4 RBI.

Athletics (ATH) @ New York Yankees (NYY)

Yankee Stadium

ATH

NYY

ATH Starter

Jeffrey Springs

7.0 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 6 K · 2 BB · 93 PC

ATH Batters

Nick Kurtz 2-4

Max Muncy 2-4 (1 R)

Insight

Jeffrey Springs was the story here — he went 7 innings and gave up just 1 hit, shutting down the Yankees in a tight 1-0 win. He's been building nicely over his last few outings and this was easily the best of the bunch.

NYY Starter

Ryan Weathers

8.0 IP · 7 H · 1 ER · 7 K · 0 BB · 101 PC

NYY Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Ryan Weathers actually pitched really well — 8 innings, 1 run, 7 strikeouts — but the offense couldn't give him anything, and the Yankees dropped a tough one. Their bats have been struggling lately and tonight was another quiet night.

Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI) @ New York Mets (NYM)

Citi Field

ARI

NYM

ARI Starter

Eduardo Rodriguez

6.0 IP · 5 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 2 BB · 102 PC

ARI Batters

Gabriel Moreno 2-2 (2 RBI)

Jose Fernandez 2-4 (1 RBI)

Insight

Eduardo Rodriguez has been nearly untouchable lately — he shut out opponents in each of his last two starts, and tonight he kept rolling with another strong outing as Arizona cruised to a 7-1 win. Gabriel Moreno chipped in with a 2-for-2 night and 2 RBI to help put it away.

NYM Starter

Nolan McLean

6.3 IP · 3 H · 2 ER · 8 K · 2 BB · 100 PC

NYM Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Nolan McLean gave the Mets a decent start but the offense just wasn't there, managing only 1 run in a lopsided loss. Not much went right for New York tonight.

Detroit Tigers (DET) @ Minnesota Twins (MIN)

Target Field

DET

MIN

DET Starter

Jack Flaherty

5.7 IP · 5 H · 1 ER · 6 K · 3 BB · 89 PC

DET Batters

Javier Báez 2-4

Insight

Jack Flaherty bounced back a bit after some rough outings, giving Detroit nearly 6 solid innings, but the offense only managed 1 run and that wasn't enough. The Tigers fall in a low-scoring game.

MIN Starter

Mick Abel

6.0 IP · 4 H · 0 ER · 6 K · 3 BB · 102 PC

MIN Batters

Josh Bell 3-4 (1 HR, 1 RBI)

Insight

Mick Abel flipped the script from his last start — after giving up 4 runs in 4 innings last time out, he went 6 clean innings tonight to help Minnesota win 3-1. Josh Bell went 3-for-4 with a homer to lead the way at the plate.

Cincinnati Reds (CIN) @ Miami Marlins (MIA)

loanDepot park

CIN

MIA

CIN Starter

Rhett Lowder

5.3 IP · 8 H · 4 ER · 2 K · 2 BB · 95 PC

CIN Batters

Matt McLain 2-5

Spencer Steer 2-4

Insight

Rhett Lowder had been sharp in his last two starts but ran into trouble tonight, giving up 4 runs in just over 5 innings as Cincinnati got blown out 8-1. The Reds offense couldn't bail him out either.

MIA Starter

Max Meyer

5.0 IP · 4 H · 1 ER · 4 K · 3 BB · 87 PC

MIA Batters

Owen Caissie 3-4 (3 RBI)

Javier Sanoja 3-4 (2 RBI)

Agustín Ramírez 2-5 (2 RBI)

Insight

Miami's lineup went off — Owen Caissie, Javier Sanoja, and Agustín Ramírez each had multi-hit nights with a combined 7 RBI to power the Marlins to an 8-1 blowout win. That's a big night for an offense that's been on the watch list lately.

Chicago White Sox (CWS) @ Kansas City Royals (KC)

Kauffman Stadium

CWS

KC

CWS Starter

Anthony Kay

5.7 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 6 K · 2 BB · 100 PC

CWS Batters

Edgar Quero 2-4

Insight

Anthony Kay stepped up big — after a rough previous start, he came out and held Kansas City scoreless for nearly 6 innings to lead Chicago to a 2-0 win. A nice bounce-back outing for the White Sox starter.

KC Starter

Seth Lugo

6.3 IP · 4 H · 1 ER · 4 K · 4 BB · 92 PC

KC Batters

Maikel Garcia 2-4 (1 BB)

Bobby Witt Jr. 2-5

Insight

Seth Lugo had a solid night on the mound but Kansas City's bats went quiet, and the Royals dropped a 2-0 shutout at home. Hard to win when you don't score.

Rolling Performance Tables

Bullpen Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.

⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.

🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K%	Mom.	Signal
1	ATL	0.48	1.02	1.02	1.44	28.9%	0	Neutral
2	PHI	0.50	3.49	3.88	1.04	35.4%	+16	Value
3	SEA	1.10	1.50	2.04	1.93	27.5%	0	Neutral
4	TEX	1.23	1.68	1.56	2.78	18.9%	-2	Neutral
5	CIN	1.44	2.27	2.67	3.46	25.5%	+1	Neutral
6	ARI	2.05	5.08	5.42	3.01	20.8%	+18	Value
7	CLE	2.05	3.40	3.30	2.87	34.9%	+6	Neutral
8	COL	2.17	2.99	2.99	2.67	24.5%	+1	Neutral
9	DET	2.22	3.77	3.71	3.55	23.4%	+8	Value
10	BAL	2.29	3.64	3.68	3.65	24.3%	+5	Neutral
11	SD	2.58	3.07	3.06	2.67	22.3%	-1	Neutral
12	BOS	2.99	3.97	3.71	3.22	25.4%	+4	Watch
13	CWS	3.14	4.79	5.84	4.24	17.4%	+12	Neutral
14	NYM	3.43	2.15	2.51	2.34	15.7%	-9	Fade
15	NYY	3.53	2.88	2.69	1.73	30.2%	-8	Neutral
16	MIL	3.81	2.22	2.22	4.05	16.3%	-12	Fade
17	PIT	3.91	3.28	3.90	2.62	30.0%	+2	Neutral
18	MIN	4.09	4.59	4.71	3.59	18.1%	+3	Watch
19	CHC	4.13	3.66	3.63	4.58	16.7%	-5	Fade
20	LAD	4.20	3.46	3.21	3.57	19.8%	-9	Fade
21	MIA	4.38	2.84	2.84	4.11	25.6%	-13	Fade
22	LAA	4.39	3.45	3.24	4.08	25.3%	-10	Fade
23	TB	4.74	5.45	6.70	4.60	20.0%	+6	Value
24	KC	4.76	6.61	6.61	4.03	20.9%	+4	Watch
25	STL	5.45	4.59	5.33	6.35	18.2%	-2	Neutral
26	TOR	5.87	6.20	6.20	5.24	23.0%	0	Neutral
27	SF	6.16	4.71	4.29	4.26	22.0%	-7	Fade
28	ATH	7.22	4.80	4.80	5.80	20.2%	-6	Neutral
29	WSH	8.07	6.84	6.35	7.58	17.9%	-2	Neutral
30	HOU	10.04	7.16	7.09	7.29	15.4%	0	Neutral

SP Rotation Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.

🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.

⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.

🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.

🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K-BB%	WHIP	Mom.	Signal
1	NYM	3.44	3.43	3.70	2.25	15.4%	1.00	+3	Watch
2	CWS	0.80	4.08	4.52	2.34	15.7%	0.98	+10	Neutral
3	CLE	1.31	2.51	2.74	2.44	19.6%	0.91	+11	Neutral
4	MIN	3.10	3.54	3.26	2.65	13.7%	1.25	+2	Neutral
5	SD	3.49	3.20	3.91	2.66	16.7%	1.30	+5	Value
6	TEX	2.53	3.54	4.00	2.69	28.4%	0.97	+3	Watch
7	NYY	3.73	2.36	2.14	2.72	16.8%	1.21	-6	Neutral
8	SEA	2.47	2.76	2.92	2.72	15.4%	0.93	-5	Fade
9	PIT	2.43	2.14	2.87	2.89	12.2%	1.17	-4	Watch
10	LAA	3.33	4.95	4.50	2.91	17.0%	1.17	+1	Neutral
11	CIN	3.41	4.25	3.87	2.96	12.4%	1.35	+11	Neutral
12	BOS	3.91	5.08	4.56	2.97	6.9%	1.34	+4	Watch
13	PHI	4.09	4.86	4.41	3.07	19.9%	1.42	-5	Fade
14	BAL	4.55	4.70	4.14	3.10	10.4%	1.52	-1	Neutral
15	SF	3.85	3.36	3.88	3.24	11.0%	1.42	-8	Fade
16	TB	4.30	4.02	3.84	3.30	14.1%	1.13	+1	Neutral
17	HOU	5.62	5.55	5.12	3.39	8.8%	1.75	+3	Watch
18	DET	6.62	5.16	4.70	3.42	10.1%	1.65	-3	Watch
19	MIL	4.12	4.57	4.30	3.43	9.4%	1.42	+8	Neutral
20	ARI	1.89	2.50	2.88	3.70	6.4%	1.23	+4	Watch
21	ATL	3.23	2.78	2.78	3.76	15.5%	1.05	0	Neutral
22	LAD	3.74	3.51	3.46	3.96	8.4%	1.22	-4	Watch
23	TOR	5.29	2.92	2.92	4.15	5.5%	1.76	-21	Neutral
24	KC	4.87	3.10	3.10	4.26	8.8%	1.52	-1	Neutral
25	CHC	1.54	1.94	2.79	4.38	3.3%	0.90	-6	Fade
26	ATH	3.56	4.72	4.72	4.55	6.7%	1.42	+4	Watch
27	MIA	4.08	4.02	4.02	5.14	7.9%	1.30	-2	Neutral
28	COL	5.46	4.37	4.37	5.28	5.5%	1.57	-2	Neutral
29	WSH	7.62	5.81	5.74	5.45	7.6%	2.04	0	Neutral
30	STL	5.90	4.91	4.65	5.48	7.5%	1.59	-2	Neutral

Team Batting Rankings

7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal

📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.

💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.

🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.

📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.

🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.

#	Team	7d R/G	14d	28d	OPS	wRC+	Mom.	Signal
1	LAD	8.67	6.09	6.25	0.838	174	0	Neutral
2	HOU	5.67	6.58	6.08	0.852	133	0	Neutral
3	WSH	5.50	5.55	5.92	0.785	118	0	Neutral
4	NYM	5.17	3.75	4.31	0.704	113	+9	Neutral
5	ATH	5.00	3.92	3.92	0.638	121	+13	Value
6	NYY	5.00	4.27	4.50	0.695	89	+4	Watch
7	STL	5.00	4.55	4.92	0.655	105	0	Neutral
8	MIA	4.86	5.15	5.15	0.773	98	-3	Watch
9	MIN	4.86	4.92	4.62	0.667	95	-1	Neutral
10	SD	4.86	4.25	4.08	0.599	81	+6	Value
11	COL	4.57	4.31	4.31	0.640	99	+1	Neutral
12	BOS	4.50	3.73	3.67	0.668	82	+9	Value
13	DET	4.29	3.83	4.15	0.683	105	+2	Neutral
14	ARI	4.17	4.17	4.00	0.641	56	+3	Watch
15	ATL	4.17	5.08	5.08	0.754	82	-9	Fade
16	PIT	4.17	4.27	4.50	0.722	104	-5	Fade
17	TB	4.17	4.36	4.58	0.730	88	-8	Fade
18	MIL	3.83	4.91	5.67	0.804	100	-14	Fade
19	CHC	3.50	4.27	4.25	0.651	70	-5	Fade
20	LAA	3.33	4.00	3.92	0.639	58	-1	Neutral
21	SF	3.33	3.42	3.15	0.588	65	+3	Watch
22	BAL	3.17	3.91	3.75	0.698	89	-2	Neutral
23	PHI	3.17	3.36	3.50	0.697	74	0	Neutral
24	CIN	3.14	3.25	3.00	0.624	72	+4	Watch
25	CLE	3.00	2.83	3.08	0.633	115	0	Neutral
26	CWS	2.83	3.00	2.92	0.624	68	+3	Watch
27	SEA	2.17	3.00	3.08	0.617	41	-1	Neutral
28	KC	2.00	2.85	2.85	0.692	77	+2	Neutral
29	TEX	2.00	3.73	3.67	0.693	50	-7	Fade
30	TOR	2.00	3.08	3.08	0.670	54	-3	Watch

Top Edge Signals

Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.

Strongest signal

DET Value

VALUE: The Detroit bullpen has been one of the best in baseball over the last week, posting a 2.22 ERA. They're facing a tough schedule, but the relief corps has been locking games down consistently. Back Detroit's bullpen to hold leads this week.

NYM Fade

FADE: The Mets bullpen looks great on paper over the last week, but they've been getting a little lucky — their 3.43 ERA this week is actually better than how they've really been pitching. They're also trending in the wrong direction lately. Avoid leaning on the Mets pen to close out games right now.

SF Fade

FADE: The Giants bullpen has been a mess lately, giving up runs at a 6.16 ERA clip this past week. They've been walking batters and putting runners on base at an alarming rate. Avoid the Giants when the game is in the hands of their relievers.

ARI Value

VALUE: Arizona's bullpen has been sharp this week with a 2.05 ERA and barely any baserunners allowed. The team is on a strong recent run, and the relievers are a big reason why. Back the Diamondbacks bullpen while they're rolling like this.

CHC Fade

FADE: Chicago's starters have a sparkling 1.54 ERA this week, but the way they've actually been pitching doesn't back that number up at all — their true pitching level is much closer to a 4.38. The Cubs rotation has been getting bailed out by good luck, not good pitching. Don't trust Chicago starters to keep this up.

PHI Fade

FADE: Philadelphia's starters have a 4.09 ERA this week and have been allowing too many baserunners. The rotation has been trending down lately and the numbers don't suggest things will turn around quickly. Avoid backing Phillies starters until they find some consistency.

SF Fade

FADE: San Francisco's starters have been sliding in the wrong direction, and the momentum is clearly negative right now. They've been walking too many hitters and not missing enough bats. Fade the Giants rotation until they show signs of turning things around.

ATH Value

VALUE: The Athletics offense is quietly one of the hotter lineups in baseball right now, scoring 5 runs per game this week against tough competition. They're ranked 5th overall in offensive performance over the last seven days. Back Oakland's bats while they're this hot.

ATL Fade

FADE: Atlanta's offense has been underwhelming lately, averaging just over 4 runs a game against easy competition. Their lineup is trending down and not producing the way you'd expect from a team with their talent. Fade the Braves offense until they start showing up at the plate.

BOS Value

VALUE: Boston's lineup has been picking up momentum recently and is averaging 4.5 runs per game this week. They're playing average competition and have been trending upward after a slow stretch. Keep an eye on the Red Sox offense as a sneaky play this week.

Injury & Lineup Log

Player	Team	Status	Injury	Impact
Chris Murphy	CWS	10-day IL	15-day IL — Left elbow impingement syndrome	Chicago White Sox placed LHP Chris Murphy on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 8, 2026. Left elbow impingement syndrome.

Activated from IL

MIA: Pete Fairbanks — activated from IL

Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app

MLB Stats Tracker

The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.

⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat

⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts

🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily

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Methodology

Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.

Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.

Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.

ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.

Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.

V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.