Friday, April 10
15 games · full slate
Game Recaps
Minnesota Twins (MIN)
@
Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)
Rogers Centre
MIN
4
TOR
10
New York Yankees (NYY)
@
Tampa Bay Rays (TB)
Tropicana Field
NYY
3
TB
5
Boston Red Sox (BOS)
@
St. Louis Cardinals (STL)
Busch Stadium
BOS
2
STL
3
Houston Astros (HOU)
@
Seattle Mariners (SEA)
T-Mobile Park
HOU
6
SEA
9
Colorado Rockies (COL)
@
San Diego Padres (SD)
Petco Park
COL
2
SD
5
Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)
@
Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)
Citizens Bank Park
ARI
5
PHI
4
Athletics (ATH)
@
New York Mets (NYM)
Citi Field
ATH
4
NYM
0
Washington Nationals (WSH)
@
Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)
American Family Field
WSH
7
MIL
3
Texas Rangers (TEX)
@
Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
TEX
7
LAD
8
Chicago White Sox (CWS)
@
Kansas City Royals (KC)
Kauffman Stadium
CWS
0
KC
2
Miami Marlins (MIA)
@
Detroit Tigers (DET)
Comerica Park
MIA
0
DET
2
Los Angeles Angels (LAA)
@
Cincinnati Reds (CIN)
Great American Ball Park
LAA
10
CIN
2
Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)
@
Chicago Cubs (CHC)
Wrigley Field
PIT
2
CHC
0
San Francisco Giants (SF)
@
Baltimore Orioles (BAL)
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SF
6
BAL
3
Cleveland Guardians (CLE)
@
Atlanta Braves (ATL)
Truist Park
CLE
5
ATL
11
Rolling Performance Tables
Bullpen Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.
⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.
🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 0.46 | 1.47 | +12 | Value |
| 2 | ARI | 1.16 | 1.55 | +21 | Value |
| 3 | ATL | 1.80 | 1.75 | -2 | Neutral |
| 4 | DET | 2.22 | 3.72 | +8 | Value |
| 5 | TEX | 2.39 | 3.63 | -3 | Watch |
| 6 | SEA | 2.60 | 3.68 | -3 | Watch |
| 7 | TB | 2.77 | 4.02 | +22 | Neutral |
| 8 | SD | 2.83 | 2.33 | 0 | Neutral |
| 9 | CIN | 2.91 | 4.27 | +2 | Neutral |
| 10 | PIT | 2.94 | 2.54 | +5 | Value |
| 11 | COL | 2.95 | 3.04 | -2 | Neutral |
| 12 | BAL | 3.05 | 4.12 | +6 | Neutral |
| 13 | CWS | 3.05 | 4.30 | +13 | Neutral |
| 14 | BOS | 3.63 | 3.50 | +3 | Watch |
| 15 | MIA | 3.64 | 3.30 | -10 | Fade |
| 16 | NYY | 3.84 | 2.15 | -12 | Fade |
| 17 | CHC | 4.04 | 3.93 | -1 | Neutral |
| 18 | LAA | 4.25 | 4.65 | -8 | Fade |
| 19 | NYM | 4.29 | 2.48 | -12 | Fade |
| 20 | KC | 4.40 | 3.96 | +8 | Neutral |
| 21 | MIL | 4.57 | 3.88 | -15 | Fade |
| 22 | LAD | 4.74 | 3.84 | -8 | Fade |
| 23 | TOR | 4.97 | 4.45 | +2 | Neutral |
| 24 | SF | 5.00 | 4.43 | -3 | Watch |
| 25 | STL | 5.15 | 5.96 | -3 | Watch |
| 26 | CLE | 5.42 | 4.24 | -7 | Fade |
| 27 | ATH | 5.60 | 4.89 | -7 | Fade |
| 28 | MIN | 5.67 | 4.20 | -4 | Watch |
| 29 | WSH | 7.63 | 6.95 | -2 | Neutral |
| 30 | HOU | 9.18 | 6.37 | 0 | Neutral |
SP Rotation Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.
⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.
🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.
🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD | 2.47 | 2.28 | +8 | Value |
| 2 | NYM | 3.44 | 2.39 | +1 | Neutral |
| 3 | SF | 2.74 | 2.52 | +2 | Neutral |
| 4 | CWS | 1.22 | 2.76 | +11 | Neutral |
| 5 | NYY | 4.21 | 2.82 | -4 | Watch |
| 6 | SEA | 3.40 | 2.84 | -4 | Watch |
| 7 | PIT | 1.93 | 2.92 | -3 | Watch |
| 8 | MIN | 3.58 | 3.02 | -1 | Neutral |
| 9 | BOS | 3.83 | 3.03 | +5 | Value |
| 10 | LAA | 3.58 | 3.04 | +3 | Watch |
| 11 | MIL | 4.45 | 3.10 | +15 | Neutral |
| 12 | TEX | 2.61 | 3.13 | +4 | Watch |
| 13 | DET | 6.62 | 3.22 | -3 | Watch |
| 14 | PHI | 5.45 | 3.32 | -6 | Fade |
| 15 | TB | 4.34 | 3.34 | -3 | Watch |
| 16 | KC | 3.89 | 3.47 | +2 | Neutral |
| 17 | HOU | 5.24 | 3.49 | +4 | Watch |
| 18 | CLE | 2.30 | 3.50 | +1 | Neutral |
| 19 | CHC | 1.27 | 3.52 | -8 | Fade |
| 20 | BAL | 4.08 | 3.59 | -3 | Watch |
| 21 | ARI | 3.08 | 3.79 | +1 | Neutral |
| 22 | LAD | 3.71 | 3.86 | -2 | Neutral |
| 23 | CIN | 4.10 | 4.07 | +2 | Neutral |
| 24 | ATL | 3.93 | 4.25 | -1 | Neutral |
| 25 | WSH | 4.72 | 4.30 | +5 | Value |
| 26 | MIA | 3.38 | 4.63 | -2 | Neutral |
| 27 | COL | 2.90 | 4.81 | +1 | Neutral |
| 28 | ATH | 3.50 | 4.87 | +1 | Neutral |
| 29 | STL | 5.05 | 4.95 | -2 | Neutral |
| 30 | TOR | 6.06 | 5.12 | -24 | Neutral |
Team Batting Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.
💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.
🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.
🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.
| # | Team | 7d R/G | OPS | wRC+ | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAD | 7.83 | 0.853 | 173 | 0 | Neutral |
| 2 | HOU | 6.00 | 0.856 | 143 | 0 | Neutral |
| 3 | ATL | 5.67 | 0.751 | 112 | +1 | Neutral |
| 4 | WSH | 5.67 | 0.784 | 114 | -1 | Neutral |
| 5 | STL | 5.50 | 0.666 | 118 | +2 | Neutral |
| 6 | SD | 5.29 | 0.610 | 98 | +8 | Value |
| 7 | ARI | 5.00 | 0.641 | 68 | +8 | Value |
| 8 | LAA | 4.83 | 0.646 | 103 | +3 | Watch |
| 9 | COL | 4.71 | 0.651 | 106 | +4 | Watch |
| 10 | MIA | 4.57 | 0.764 | 90 | -4 | Watch |
| 11 | MIL | 4.33 | 0.788 | 92 | -6 | Fade |
| 12 | TB | 4.33 | 0.728 | 101 | -4 | Watch |
| 13 | NYY | 4.17 | 0.688 | 68 | -3 | Watch |
| 14 | BOS | 4.00 | 0.665 | 58 | +9 | Value |
| 15 | DET | 4.00 | 0.689 | 99 | +1 | Neutral |
| 16 | MIN | 4.00 | 0.664 | 95 | -7 | Fade |
| 17 | ATH | 3.83 | 0.643 | 98 | +1 | Neutral |
| 18 | SF | 3.83 | 0.596 | 91 | +8 | Neutral |
| 19 | PIT | 3.67 | 0.719 | 91 | -7 | Fade |
| 20 | NYM | 3.50 | 0.698 | 75 | -3 | Watch |
| 21 | CHC | 3.33 | 0.653 | 82 | -2 | Neutral |
| 22 | TOR | 3.33 | 0.673 | 80 | 0 | Neutral |
| 23 | CLE | 3.17 | 0.640 | 101 | +4 | Watch |
| 24 | SEA | 3.17 | 0.610 | 61 | +1 | Neutral |
| 25 | BAL | 3.00 | 0.692 | 83 | -4 | Watch |
| 26 | CIN | 2.71 | 0.618 | 59 | +2 | Neutral |
| 27 | TEX | 2.67 | 0.683 | 66 | -7 | Fade |
| 28 | CWS | 2.43 | 0.617 | 52 | +2 | Neutral |
| 29 | KC | 2.29 | 0.692 | 79 | 0 | Neutral |
| 30 | PHI | 2.17 | 0.685 | 52 | -6 | Fade |
Top Edge Signals
Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.
Strongest signal
DET
Value
VALUE: The Detroit bullpen has been one of the best in baseball over the last week, giving up very few runs. They have been getting outs consistently and keeping games under control. Back Detroit when their relievers are called on this week.
NYM
Fade
FADE: The Mets bullpen looked solid over the past few weeks but has started leaking runs recently. The recent struggles are a warning sign that things may get worse before they get better. Avoid leaning on the Mets bullpen to hold leads right now.
NYY
Fade
FADE: The Yankees bullpen has been giving up more runs lately despite striking out a decent number of batters. They are walking too many hitters and the results have been trending in the wrong direction. Fade the Yankees when games come down to their relief pitching.
PHI
Value
VALUE: The Phillies bullpen has been almost untouchable this past week, barely giving up a run. They are riding real momentum right now with the team winning games. Back Philly when their relievers are protecting a lead.
CHC
Fade
FADE: The Cubs starters have posted a shiny 1.27 ERA this week, but the numbers behind that suggest they have been a lot luckier than they are good. Things are likely to even out soon and the runs allowed will climb. Fade Chicago starters until we see more consistent results.
PHI
Fade
FADE: Philadelphia starters have been struggling, giving up over 5 runs per 9 innings this week and the results have been rough for a while now. The rotation has been a liability more than an asset lately. Fade the Phillies on days when the outcome depends on their starting pitcher.
SD
Value
VALUE: San Diego starters have been pitching really well and the results actually match up with how well they have been throwing the ball. They rank at the top of the league this week and have been consistent over the past month. Back the Padres rotation with confidence right now.
ARI
Value
VALUE: Arizona's offense has been quietly scoring runs at a solid clip, averaging 5 per game recently. The team is winning and the bats have been carrying their share of the load. Back the Diamondbacks to keep putting runs on the board this week.
BOS
Value
VALUE: Boston's offense has been picking up steam lately despite facing a tough schedule. They are scoring around 4 runs a game and the momentum is pointing upward. Keep an eye on the Red Sox bats as they could be heating up at the right time.
SD
Value
VALUE: The Padres lineup has been producing runs consistently and ranks among the better offenses in baseball right now. Paired with their strong rotation, San Diego looks like a well-rounded team firing on both sides. Back the Padres to keep scoring and winning this week.
Injury & Lineup Log
| Player | Team | Status | Injury | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Seigler | BOS | 10-day IL | 10-day IL | Boston Red Sox activated 2B Anthony Seigler from the 10-day injured list. |
| Parker Meadows | DET | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Left radius fracture | Detroit Tigers placed CF Parker Meadows on the 10-day injured list. Left radius fracture. |
| Ronel Blanco | HOU | 60-day IL | 60-day IL — Right elbow surgery recovery | Houston Astros transferred RHP Ronel Blanco from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right elbow surgery recovery. |
| Cristian Javier | HOU | 10-day IL | 15-day IL — Grade two right shoulder strain | Houston Astros placed RHP Cristian Javier on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 9, 2026. Grade two right shoulder strain. |
| Griffin Conine | MIA | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Left hamstring strain | Miami Marlins placed LF Griffin Conine on the 10-day injured list. Left hamstring strain. |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Grade two right oblique strain | Houston Astros placed CF Jake Meyers on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 9, 2026. Grade two right oblique strain. |
| Jeremiah Estrada | SD | 10-day IL | 15-day IL — Right elbow tendenitis | San Diego Padres placed RHP Jeremiah Estrada on the 15-day injured list. Right elbow tendenitis. |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | 10-day IL | 10-day IL | Chicago Cubs activated RF Seiya Suzuki from the 10-day injured list. |
| Jason Adam | SD | 10-day IL | 15-day IL | San Diego Padres activated RHP Jason Adam from the 15-day injured list. |
| Brent Rooker | ATH | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Oblique strain | Athletics placed RF Brent Rooker on the 10-day injured list. Oblique strain. |
| Phil Maton | CHC | 10-day IL | 15-day IL — Right knee tendinitis | Chicago Cubs placed RHP Phil Maton on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 8, 2026. Right knee tendinitis. |
Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app
MLB Stats Tracker
The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.
⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat
⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts
🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily
Methodology
Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.
Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.
Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.
ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.
Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.
V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.
Compass publishes statistical analysis and data signals for informational purposes only. Nothing in this newsletter constitutes betting advice or a recommendation to wager. Sports betting involves significant financial risk — please gamble responsibly.