Saturday, April 11
15 games · full slate
Game Recaps
Minnesota Twins (MIN)
@
Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)
Rogers Centre
MIN
7
TOR
4
New York Yankees (NYY)
@
Tampa Bay Rays (TB)
Tropicana Field
NYY
4
TB
5
Boston Red Sox (BOS)
@
St. Louis Cardinals (STL)
Busch Stadium
BOS
7
STL
1
Houston Astros (HOU)
@
Seattle Mariners (SEA)
T-Mobile Park
HOU
7
SEA
8
Colorado Rockies (COL)
@
San Diego Padres (SD)
Petco Park
COL
5
SD
9
Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)
@
Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)
Citizens Bank Park
ARI
3
PHI
4
Athletics (ATH)
@
New York Mets (NYM)
Citi Field
ATH
11
NYM
6
Washington Nationals (WSH)
@
Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)
American Family Field
WSH
3
MIL
1
Texas Rangers (TEX)
@
Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
TEX
3
LAD
6
Chicago White Sox (CWS)
@
Kansas City Royals (KC)
Kauffman Stadium
CWS
0
KC
2
Miami Marlins (MIA)
@
Detroit Tigers (DET)
Comerica Park
MIA
1
DET
6
Los Angeles Angels (LAA)
@
Cincinnati Reds (CIN)
Great American Ball Park
LAA
3
CIN
7
Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)
@
Chicago Cubs (CHC)
Wrigley Field
PIT
4
CHC
3
San Francisco Giants (SF)
@
Baltimore Orioles (BAL)
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SF
2
BAL
6
Cleveland Guardians (CLE)
@
Atlanta Braves (ATL)
Truist Park
CLE
6
ATL
0
Rolling Performance Tables
Bullpen Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d ERA — Lower ERA = better bullpen right now.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Removes luck and defense. ERA above FIP by 1.0+ means bullpen is due to improve.
⚡ K% — strikeout rate. Higher is better.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = bullpen trending up vs season baseline. Negative = declining.
🎯 Signal — Value = bullpen is trending up but market hasn't priced it in yet — target these teams. Fade = bullpen trending down — avoid backing them. Watch = mixed signals, monitor before acting.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 0.85 | 1.32 | +14 | Value |
| 2 | ARI | 1.27 | 1.45 | +20 | Neutral |
| 3 | DET | 1.93 | 3.27 | +7 | Value |
| 4 | SEA | 2.07 | 3.61 | -3 | Watch |
| 5 | BAL | 2.13 | 3.53 | +12 | Neutral |
| 6 | MIA | 2.21 | 2.94 | -2 | Neutral |
| 7 | CIN | 2.70 | 4.11 | 0 | Neutral |
| 8 | SD | 2.74 | 2.56 | +1 | Neutral |
| 9 | TEX | 2.75 | 3.89 | -6 | Neutral |
| 10 | CHC | 2.92 | 3.38 | +2 | Neutral |
| 11 | CWS | 2.93 | 3.43 | +15 | Neutral |
| 12 | TB | 3.18 | 4.09 | +16 | Value |
| 13 | LAD | 3.32 | 2.99 | +1 | Neutral |
| 14 | PIT | 3.51 | 2.67 | +2 | Neutral |
| 15 | ATL | 3.52 | 2.49 | -13 | Neutral |
| 16 | COL | 3.69 | 3.85 | -3 | Watch |
| 17 | NYY | 3.71 | 2.22 | -11 | Fade |
| 18 | BOS | 3.95 | 4.37 | 0 | Neutral |
| 19 | MIL | 4.11 | 4.13 | -14 | Fade |
| 20 | ATH | 4.18 | 4.28 | 0 | Neutral |
| 21 | LAA | 4.50 | 4.75 | -10 | Fade |
| 22 | TOR | 4.61 | 3.78 | +1 | Neutral |
| 23 | CLE | 4.76 | 3.84 | -4 | Watch |
| 24 | NYM | 4.90 | 2.79 | -16 | Neutral |
| 25 | KC | 5.42 | 4.40 | +4 | Watch |
| 26 | STL | 5.45 | 4.53 | -1 | Neutral |
| 27 | SF | 5.73 | 4.37 | -6 | Fade |
| 28 | MIN | 6.03 | 4.98 | -4 | Watch |
| 29 | WSH | 7.00 | 7.21 | -2 | Neutral |
| 30 | HOU | 9.57 | 7.22 | 0 | Neutral |
SP Rotation Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d ERA · FIP · K-BB% · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by FIP — better predictor of future ERA than ERA itself. High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — earned run average over each rolling window.
🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. The core metric for SP valuation.
⚡ K-BB% — strikeouts minus walks per batter faced. Above 15% = strong. Below 8% = concern.
🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = rotation outperforming season baseline recently.
🎯 Signal — Value = rotation trending up, opposing hitters may be overpriced. Fade = rotation trending down, avoid backing this staff. Watch = early signs of a trend — monitor before committing.
| # | Team | 7d ERA | FIP | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 1.64 | 2.49 | +1 | Neutral |
| 2 | NYY | 3.71 | 2.50 | -1 | Neutral |
| 3 | BOS | 2.98 | 2.70 | +6 | Value |
| 4 | KC | 2.27 | 2.80 | +7 | Neutral |
| 5 | DET | 5.29 | 3.02 | +3 | Watch |
| 6 | MIL | 5.27 | 3.02 | +19 | Value |
| 7 | SEA | 5.52 | 3.04 | -4 | Watch |
| 8 | CWS | 1.35 | 3.10 | +5 | Neutral |
| 9 | MIN | 2.87 | 3.10 | -4 | Watch |
| 10 | SF | 2.41 | 3.10 | -6 | Fade |
| 11 | NYM | 6.14 | 3.24 | -4 | Watch |
| 12 | CLE | 1.85 | 3.31 | +4 | Watch |
| 13 | SD | 3.31 | 3.33 | +2 | Neutral |
| 14 | CHC | 1.89 | 3.49 | -4 | Watch |
| 15 | BAL | 4.55 | 3.61 | -3 | Watch |
| 16 | LAA | 5.59 | 4.13 | +2 | Neutral |
| 17 | TB | 4.55 | 4.22 | -3 | Watch |
| 18 | TEX | 3.64 | 4.24 | +1 | Neutral |
| 19 | STL | 3.48 | 4.29 | +8 | Value |
| 20 | PHI | 6.06 | 4.31 | -14 | Fade |
| 21 | ARI | 3.53 | 4.37 | +2 | Neutral |
| 22 | CIN | 5.10 | 4.52 | +4 | Watch |
| 23 | ATH | 3.27 | 4.55 | +7 | Neutral |
| 24 | HOU | 8.44 | 4.56 | -4 | Watch |
| 25 | WSH | 2.57 | 4.56 | +3 | Watch |
| 26 | MIA | 3.83 | 4.64 | -2 | Neutral |
| 27 | LAD | 3.97 | 4.72 | -6 | Fade |
| 28 | COL | 3.94 | 5.26 | +1 | Neutral |
| 29 | ATL | 4.49 | 5.36 | -7 | Neutral |
| 30 | TOR | 7.25 | 6.11 | -13 | Neutral |
Team Batting Rankings
7d · 14d · 28d R/G · OPS · wRC+ · row color = signal
📊 Sorted by 7d R/G — runs per game over the last 7 days.
📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — runs per game over each rolling window.
💥 OPS — Captures both contact quality and power in one number.
🎯 wRC+ — park-adjusted runs created. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.
📈 Mom. — momentum. 28d rank minus 7d rank. Positive = offense trending up.
🎯 Signal — Value = offense is heating up and likely underpriced by the market — look at their overs. Fade = offense is cooling — avoid their run totals. Watch = trending but not confirmed yet.
| # | Team | 7d R/G | OPS | wRC+ | Mom. | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAD | 7.17 | 0.864 | 175 | 0 | Neutral |
| 2 | SD | 6.14 | 0.625 | 115 | +8 | Value |
| 3 | ATH | 5.67 | 0.658 | 130 | +8 | Neutral |
| 4 | ATL | 5.50 | 0.752 | 113 | +1 | Neutral |
| 5 | HOU | 5.33 | 0.851 | 126 | -3 | Watch |
| 6 | WSH | 5.33 | 0.782 | 116 | -3 | Watch |
| 7 | COL | 5.29 | 0.668 | 124 | +8 | Value |
| 8 | ARI | 5.17 | 0.645 | 79 | +10 | Neutral |
| 9 | LAA | 5.17 | 0.653 | 103 | +5 | Value |
| 10 | MIN | 4.86 | 0.668 | 111 | -4 | Watch |
| 11 | BOS | 4.83 | 0.663 | 69 | +12 | Value |
| 12 | STL | 4.67 | 0.670 | 109 | -3 | Watch |
| 13 | SEA | 4.50 | 0.610 | 82 | +9 | Value |
| 14 | CLE | 4.17 | 0.647 | 104 | +12 | Neutral |
| 15 | SF | 4.17 | 0.609 | 108 | +12 | Neutral |
| 16 | TB | 4.00 | 0.722 | 90 | -9 | Fade |
| 17 | CHC | 3.83 | 0.653 | 79 | +3 | Watch |
| 18 | PIT | 3.83 | 0.717 | 96 | -5 | Neutral |
| 19 | MIA | 3.71 | 0.751 | 69 | -11 | Fade |
| 20 | BAL | 3.67 | 0.693 | 94 | -1 | Neutral |
| 21 | MIL | 3.67 | 0.768 | 71 | -17 | Fade |
| 22 | TOR | 3.50 | 0.669 | 78 | +2 | Neutral |
| 23 | CIN | 3.43 | 0.618 | 77 | +5 | Value |
| 24 | NYY | 3.33 | 0.679 | 64 | -12 | Fade |
| 25 | DET | 3.29 | 0.684 | 75 | -9 | Fade |
| 26 | TEX | 3.17 | 0.677 | 69 | -5 | Neutral |
| 27 | NYM | 3.00 | 0.692 | 82 | -10 | Neutral |
| 28 | PHI | 2.50 | 0.677 | 57 | -3 | Watch |
| 29 | KC | 2.29 | 0.690 | 69 | 0 | Neutral |
| 30 | CWS | 1.57 | 0.607 | 32 | 0 | Neutral |
Top Edge Signals
Signals extracted from rolling tables above. Data observations only — not betting recommendations.
Strongest signal
NYY
Fade
FADE: The Yankees bullpen has a decent ERA this week, but they've been pitching better than the results suggest — meaning the run prevention may not hold up going forward. Their momentum has been trending in the wrong direction lately. Be careful leaning on New York's relief corps this week.
DET
Value
VALUE: Detroit's bullpen has been really tough to score against, posting a 1.93 ERA over the last week. They've been holding leads and keeping games close in a way that feels genuine, not lucky. Back Detroit when the game gets to their relief pitchers.
LAA
Fade
FADE: The Angels bullpen has been sliding lately, and their recent numbers rank them near the bottom of the league this week. The momentum is heading the wrong way with no clear signs of a turnaround. Avoid trusting Los Angeles out of the bullpen right now.
MIL
Fade
FADE: Milwaukee's bullpen has been giving up runs more frequently this week, and the team's overall momentum is pointing down. While their longer-term numbers look solid, the recent trend is worth paying attention to. Hold off on leaning on the Brewers bullpen this week.
MIL
Value
VALUE: Milwaukee's starters have been allowing a lot fewer runs than you'd expect based on how they've actually been pitching. Their ERA this week looks bad at 5.27, but the way they've been throwing the ball suggests that number should be much lower. Back the Brewers starters — the results should start catching up to how well they've been pitching.
PHI
Fade
FADE: Philadelphia's starters have been getting hit hard lately, and the numbers back it up — a 6.06 ERA this week with a WHIP near 1.68 means runners are constantly getting on base. The recent slide in momentum makes this even harder to ignore. Avoid backing the Phillies rotation right now.
STL
Value
VALUE: St. Louis starters have been pitching better than their results show lately, and they've been doing it against a tough schedule. Their ERA this week sits at 3.48, which is solid even if the longer-term numbers have been bumpy. Back Cardinals starters while they're pitching this well against quality competition.
BOS
Value
VALUE: Boston's offense has been quietly building momentum and is scoring nearly 5 runs a game recently. Their overall hitting numbers are not eye-popping, but the positive trend is real and worth noting. Keep an eye on the Red Sox lineup — they may be turning a corner.
COL
Value
VALUE: Colorado's lineup has been one of the better-performing offenses in the league lately, and they've been doing it against a tough schedule. They're scoring over 5 runs a game and ranking in the top 10 over the last week and two weeks. Back the Rockies bats while they're this hot.
DET
Fade
FADE: Detroit's offense has been one of the weakest in baseball recently, averaging just 3.29 runs a game and ranking near the bottom of the league this week. The team's hitting momentum is heading in the wrong direction. Avoid counting on the Tigers lineup to put up runs right now.
Injury & Lineup Log
| Player | Team | Status | Injury | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daysbel Hernández | ATL | 10-day IL | 15-day IL | Atlanta Braves activated RHP Daysbel Hernández from the 15-day injured list. |
| Vaughn Grissom | LAA | 10-day IL | 10-day IL | Los Angeles Angels activated 2B Vaughn Grissom from the 10-day injured list. |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | 10-day IL | IL | Atlanta Braves placed CF Michael Harris II on the paternity list. |
| Danny Young | ATL | 60-day IL | 60-day IL — Left elbow reconstruction | Atlanta Braves transferred LHP Danny Young from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Left elbow reconstruction. |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Left ankle inflammation | Baltimore Orioles placed C Adley Rutschman on the 10-day injured list. Left ankle inflammation. |
| Joe Boyle | TB | 10-day IL | 15-day IL — Right elbow strain | Tampa Bay Rays placed RHP Joe Boyle on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 10, 2026. Right elbow strain. |
| Cody Laweryson | MIN | 10-day IL | 15-day IL — Right forearm strain | Minnesota Twins placed RHP Cody Laweryson on the 15-day injured list retroactive to April 9, 2026. Right forearm strain. |
| Royce Lewis | MIN | 10-day IL | 10-day IL — Left knee sprain | Minnesota Twins placed 3B Royce Lewis on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 10, 2025. Left knee sprain. |
Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app
MLB Stats Tracker
The individual player layer behind this newsletter. Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded thresholds.
⚾ Batters — AVG / OBP / SLG / HR / K / RBI over last 7, 10, or 21 games with at least one at-bat
⚾ Pitchers — ERA / WHIP / K / BB over last 2, 3, or 4 starts
🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily
Methodology
Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.
Momentum — rank_28d minus rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.
Schedule strength — avg opponent quality over window. Easy / Avg / Hard. Value on Hard schedule is stronger.
ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.
Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg. Watch = divergence of 3–4.
V1 note: Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting. Leverage-weighted bullpen ERA planned for V2.
Compass publishes statistical analysis and data signals for informational purposes only. Nothing in this newsletter constitutes betting advice or a recommendation to wager. Sports betting involves significant financial risk — please gamble responsibly.