Compass — April 19, 2026

Game Recaps

San Francisco Giants (SF) @ Washington Nationals (WSH)

Nationals Park

SF

WSH

SF Starter

Robbie Ray

6 IP · 7 H · 3 ER · 7 K · 1 BB · 93 PC

SF Batters

Rafael Devers 2-4

Drew Gilbert 2-4

Insight

The Giants got shut out and couldn't do anything offensively, finishing with zero runs on the night.

WSH Starter

PJ Poulin

0.2 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 0 K · 0 BB · 16 PC

WSH Batters

Keibert Ruiz 2-3 (1 RBI)

Insight

Washington got a solid team effort to take this one 3-0, with Keibert Ruiz chipping in an RBI to help get it done.

Texas Rangers (TEX) @ Seattle Mariners (SEA)

T-Mobile Park

TEX

SEA

TEX Starter

MacKenzie Gore

5 IP · 7 H · 5 ER · 5 K · 1 BB · 90 PC

TEX Batters

Brandon Nimmo 2-4

Insight

MacKenzie Gore ran into trouble early and gave up 5 runs in just 5 innings, making it a rough night for Texas on the mound.

SEA Starter

Bryan Woo

7 IP · 4 H · 2 ER · 6 K · 1 BB · 85 PC

SEA Batters

Randy Arozarena 2-4 (1 HR, 2 RBI)

Insight

Bryan Woo has been locked in lately and kept it rolling with 7 strong innings, and Randy Arozarena added a homer to back him up.

Tampa Bay Rays (TB) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)

PNC Park

TB

PIT

TB Starter

Shane McClanahan

4.1 IP · 8 H · 4 ER · 5 K · 0 BB · 90 PC

TB Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Shane McClanahan gave up 4 runs and couldn't get through 5 innings, and Tampa Bay's offense never really answered.

PIT Starter

Mitch Keller

7 IP · 5 H · 2 ER · 5 K · 0 BB · 89 PC

PIT Batters

Bryan Reynolds 2-4 (3 RBI)

Nick Gonzales 2-4 (1 RBI)

Jake Mangum 2-5 (1 R)

Insight

Mitch Keller went 7 innings and held things together on the mound, while Bryan Reynolds did the heavy lifting at the plate with 3 RBI.

Atlanta Braves (ATL) @ Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)

Citizens Bank Park

ATL

PHI

ATL Starter

Grant Holmes

4.2 IP · 4 H · 2 ER · 4 K · 1 BB · 81 PC

ATL Batters

Michael Harris II 3-3 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Michael Harris II was the story for Atlanta, going 3-for-3 with a homer as the Braves took this one on the road.

PHI Starter

Andrew Painter

4 IP · 5 H · 3 ER · 4 K · 1 BB · 84 PC

PHI Batters

Kyle Schwarber 2-4 (1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Kyle Schwarber hit a solo shot and finished with 2 RBI but it wasn't enough as Philly's pitching couldn't hold Atlanta's offense.

Kansas City Royals (KC) @ New York Yankees (NYY)

Yankee Stadium

KC

NYY

KC Starter

Cole Ragans

4.1 IP · 4 H · 7 ER · 6 K · 8 BB · 97 PC

KC Batters

Bobby Witt Jr. 2-3 (1 BB)

Elias Díaz 2-3

Insight

Cole Ragans completely imploded, walking 8 batters and giving up 7 runs in just over 4 innings in a brutal outing for Kansas City.

NYY Starter

Ryan Weathers

7.1 IP · 5 H · 0 ER · 8 K · 1 BB · 95 PC

NYY Batters

Trent Grisham 2-4 (1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Ryan Weathers was dealing tonight, going 7-plus innings without allowing a run and striking out 8 to carry the Yankees to a 7-0 win.

Cincinnati Reds (CIN) @ Minnesota Twins (MIN)

Target Field

CIN

MIN

CIN Starter

Brady Singer

6 IP · 5 H · 3 ER · 2 K · 4 BB · 104 PC

CIN Batters

TJ Friedl 2-5 (3 RBI)

Insight

Cincinnati's offense came through when it mattered and TJ Friedl drove in 3 runs to help the Reds pull away for a 7-4 win.

MIN Starter

Bailey Ober

6.1 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 10 K · 4 BB · 102 PC

MIN Batters

Victor Caratini 2-4 (2 RBI)

James Outman 2-4 (1 R)

Insight

Bailey Ober struck out 10 and gave up nothing, but the Twins bullpen couldn't hold it and Minnesota dropped this one at home.

Milwaukee Brewers (MIL) @ Miami Marlins (MIA)

loanDepot park

MIL

MIA

MIL Starter

Jacob Misiorowski

5 IP · 4 H · 1 ER · 9 K · 3 BB · 97 PC

MIL Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Jacob Misiorowski struck out 9 in 5 innings and kept Milwaukee in the game, but the bullpen gave it up and the Brewers fell 5-3.

MIA Starter

Eury Pérez

6 IP · 3 H · 0 ER · 7 K · 1 BB · 84 PC

MIA Batters

Liam Hicks 2-3 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Kyle Stowers 2-3

Insight

Eury Perez bounced back in a big way with 6 shutout innings and 7 strikeouts, giving Miami's offense all it needed to win.

San Diego Padres (SD) @ Los Angeles Angels (LAA)

Angel Stadium

SD

LAA

SD Starter

Michael King

5 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 6 K · 4 BB · 105 PC

SD Batters

Bryce Johnson 2-3 (1 RBI)

Insight

Michael King was nearly unhittable, allowing just 1 hit over 5 innings to lead San Diego to a tight 2-1 road win.

LAA Starter

Walbert Urena

6 IP · 4 H · 2 ER · 8 K · 2 BB · 92 PC

LAA Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Walbert Urena gave the Angels 6 solid innings with 8 strikeouts, but the offense couldn't get enough going in a 1-run loss.

St. Louis Cardinals (STL) @ Houston Astros (HOU)

Daikin Park

STL

HOU

STL Starter

Matthew Liberatore

6 IP · 3 H · 1 ER · 4 K · 2 BB · 82 PC

STL Batters

Masyn Winn 3-5 (3 RBI)

Insight

Matthew Liberatore bounced back nicely with 6 innings of 1-run ball, and Masyn Winn went 3-for-5 with 3 RBI to power St. Louis past Houston.

HOU Starter

Mike Burrows

4.2 IP · 3 H · 4 ER · 7 K · 2 BB · 87 PC

HOU Batters

Jose Altuve 3-5 (1 RBI)

Taylor Trammell 2-4 (2 R)

Insight

Mike Burrows gave up 4 runs in under 5 innings and the Astros bullpen couldn't keep it close in a 7-5 loss at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) @ Colorado Rockies (COL)

Coors Field

LAD

COL

LAD Starter

Roki Sasaki

4.2 IP · 7 H · 3 ER · 2 K · 2 BB · 78 PC

LAD Batters

Max Muncy 3-5

Alex Freeland 2-4 (2 RBI)

Shohei Ohtani 2-5 (1 RBI)

Insight

The Dodgers lost a wild one in Colorado, and even with Ohtani, Muncy, and a few others contributing, the offense couldn't keep up with the Rockies.

COL Starter

Michael Lorenzen

5 IP · 7 H · 3 ER · 3 K · 1 BB · 88 PC

COL Batters

Edouard Julien 3-5 (3 RBI)

Mickey Moniak 2-5 (1 HR, 3 RBI)

Kyle Karros 2-3 (1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Colorado got a big night from Edouard Julien with 3 RBI and Mickey Moniak added a homer and 3 RBI as the Rockies put up 9 runs to take this one.

Baltimore Orioles (BAL) @ Cleveland Guardians (CLE)

Progressive Field

BAL

CLE

BAL Starter

Trevor Rogers

5 IP · 6 H · 5 ER · 5 K · 2 BB · 95 PC

BAL Batters

Taylor Ward 2-5 (1 HR, 3 RBI)

Insight

Trevor Rogers gave up 5 runs in 5 innings and Baltimore couldn't dig out of the hole, losing 8-4 on the road.

CLE Starter

Joey Cantillo

4.2 IP · 5 H · 3 ER · 6 K · 3 BB · 89 PC

CLE Batters

José Ramírez 2-4 (2 HR, 2 RBI)

Brayan Rocchio 3-4 (3 RBI)

David Fry 2-3 (2 R, 1 BB)

Insight

Jose Ramirez went deep twice and Brayan Rocchio drove in 3 runs as Cleveland's offense kept rolling in an 8-4 win.

New York Mets (NYM) @ Chicago Cubs (CHC)

Wrigley Field

NYM

CHC

NYM Starter

Tobias Myers

2 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 2 K · 1 BB · 28 PC

NYM Batters

Marcus Semien 2-3

Insight

New York's offense was quiet all night and managed just 1 run, falling 2-1 in a low-scoring game at Wrigley.

CHC Starter

Javier Assad

5.2 IP · 3 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 0 BB · 82 PC

CHC Batters

Ian Happ 2-3 (1 BB)

Insight

Javier Assad was sharp with just 1 run allowed over 5-plus innings, and the Cubs did just enough offensively to escape with the win.

Detroit Tigers (DET) @ Boston Red Sox (BOS)

Fenway Park

DET

BOS

DET Starter

Framber Valdez

6 IP · 3 H · 1 ER · 7 K · 2 BB · 98 PC

DET Batters

Dillon Dingler 4-5 (1 HR, 4 RBI)

Matt Vierling 2-5 (2 R)

Javier Báez 2-4 (1 R)

Insight

Dillon Dingler was the biggest bat in the lineup, going 4-for-5 with a homer and 4 RBI to lead Detroit to a 6-2 win on the road.

BOS Starter

Garrett Crochet

5 IP · 7 H · 5 ER · 8 K · 2 BB · 93 PC

BOS Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Garrett Crochet gave up 5 runs in 5 innings and Boston's offense went quiet, as the Red Sox dropped this one at home.

Chicago White Sox (CWS) @ Athletics (ATH)

Sutter Health Park

CWS

ATH

CWS Starter

Noah Schultz

5 IP · 1 H · 1 ER · 6 K · 1 BB · 82 PC

CWS Batters

Miguel Vargas 2-3 (1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 BB)

Chase Meidroth 2-5 (2 R)

Everson Pereira 2-4

Insight

Noah Schultz held the A's to just 1 hit over 5 innings and Miguel Vargas added a homer and 2 RBI as Chicago rolled to a 7-4 win.

ATH Starter

Jeffrey Springs

5 IP · 9 H · 7 ER · 7 K · 1 BB · 85 PC

ATH Batters

Nothing Noteworthy

Insight

Jeffrey Springs had been on a really nice run lately but completely fell apart tonight, giving up 7 runs on 9 hits in just 5 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays (TOR) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Chase Field

TOR

ARI

TOR Starter

Kevin Gausman

6 IP · 7 H · 2 ER · 4 K · 1 BB · 86 PC

TOR Batters

Nathan Lukes 3-5 (3 RBI)

Kazuma Okamoto 2-4 (1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 BB)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3-5 (2 RBI)

Insight

Toronto blew this one open early as Vlad Guerrero Jr., Kazuma Okamoto, and Nathan Lukes all had multi-hit games in a 10-4 blowout.

ARI Starter

Ryne Nelson

0.1 IP · 8 H · 8 ER · 1 K · 1 BB · 30 PC

ARI Batters

Adrian Del Castillo 2-3 (1 RBI, 1 BB)

Insight

Ryne Nelson had been pitching well but got chased in the first inning after giving up 8 runs on 8 hits, completely derailing Arizona's night.

Rolling Performance Tables

Bullpen Rankings

📊 Sorted by 7d ERA

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — Rolling ERA.

🔬 FIP — If ERA > FIP then the bullpen should get better.

⚡ K% — Strikeout rate. Higher is better.

📈 Momentum — (28d - 7d). Positive = Good. Negative = Bad.

🎯 Signal — Value = Target. Fade = Avoid. Watch = Mixed signals.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K%	Mom.	Signal
1	CIN	0.44	1.80	2.31	1.83	28.7%	0	Neutral
2	SF	0.85	2.34	3.54	2.44	30.8%	+9	Value
3	COL	1.49	3.35	3.17	2.44	26.5%	+2	Neutral
4	SD	2.28	2.55	2.92	3.35	28.0%	-1	Neutral
5	BOS	2.96	3.04	3.51	4.75	18.4%	+4	Watch
6	CHC	3.24	3.11	3.18	3.06	20.0%	+1	Neutral
7	DET	3.27	2.65	3.26	3.71	20.1%	+1	Neutral
8	PIT	3.40	3.76	3.68	3.36	20.7%	+4	Watch
9	TB	3.55	4.06	5.38	5.27	21.3%	+17	Value
10	HOU	3.75	5.91	5.89	4.66	22.5%	+18	Value
11	BAL	3.85	3.00	3.69	3.66	31.5%	+2	Neutral
12	ARI	4.27	2.79	4.44	4.33	20.2%	+7	Value
13	TEX	4.34	3.62	2.92	4.50	23.1%	-9	Fade
14	ATL	4.58	3.92	2.81	3.75	23.8%	-12	Fade
15	WSH	4.74	5.09	5.37	3.86	19.3%	+10	Value
16	MIN	4.81	5.17	5.06	2.73	20.2%	+7	Neutral
17	MIA	5.11	3.92	3.51	3.84	26.6%	-7	Neutral
18	MIL	5.21	5.23	3.92	3.42	18.7%	-2	Neutral
19	PHI	5.32	3.49	4.01	5.04	21.8%	-2	Neutral
20	STL	5.62	5.73	5.40	4.52	20.8%	+7	Value
21	NYM	5.78	5.34	3.69	5.44	18.7%	-7	Neutral
22	CLE	5.86	6.19	5.02	3.75	28.1%	0	Neutral
23	LAA	5.88	6.31	4.58	5.22	21.0%	-2	Neutral
24	ATH	5.93	4.25	4.58	4.78	24.2%	-4	Watch
25	LAD	5.96	4.82	3.92	2.00	29.4%	-10	Neutral
26	TOR	6.31	5.08	5.17	5.25	17.8%	-2	Neutral
27	CWS	6.43	5.14	5.91	4.85	18.2%	+2	Neutral
28	NYY	6.46	4.79	4.11	6.69	14.3%	-10	Fade
29	SEA	6.47	4.04	3.17	2.56	21.4%	-23	Fade
30	KC	8.47	6.11	6.55	6.57	18.6%	0	Neutral

SP Rotation Rankings

📊 Sorted by FIP — High ERA + low FIP = ERA likely to drop.

📅 7d / 14d / 28d ERA — Rolling ERA.

🔬 FIP — Strips out defense and luck. Future predictor for ERA.

⚡ K-BB% — If > 15% = Good. < 8% = Bad.

🚶 WHIP — Measures baserunner control and game flow impact.

📈 Momentum — (28d - 7d). Positive = Good. Negative = Bad.

🎯 Signal — Value = Target. Fade = Avoid. Watch = Mixed signals.

#	Team	7d ERA	14d	28d	FIP	K-BB%	WHIP	Mom.	Signal
1	DET	1.91	3.32	3.29	2.28	18.6%	0.85	0	Neutral
2	MIN	3.22	3.11	3.41	2.38	20.5%	1.16	+1	Neutral
3	SD	3.98	3.04	3.75	2.73	14.9%	1.33	+3	Watch
4	PIT	2.94	2.59	2.81	2.80	16.5%	0.95	+1	Neutral
5	LAD	1.88	2.39	3.17	2.81	15.8%	0.78	+6	Neutral
6	MIL	2.00	3.18	3.39	2.82	15.8%	0.86	+8	Value
7	TOR	2.42	5.54	4.32	2.97	10.6%	1.14	+3	Watch
8	ATL	2.50	2.98	2.64	3.01	15.0%	1.11	+7	Value
9	SEA	2.66	3.45	3.24	3.03	14.0%	1.23	-7	Fade
10	LAA	2.70	3.47	3.79	3.51	17.8%	1.14	-2	Neutral
11	CIN	2.85	4.97	4.33	3.68	2.1%	1.15	+12	Value
12	MIA	4.20	4.21	4.48	3.70	7.5%	1.43	+13	Value
13	CLE	2.43	3.18	3.16	3.91	15.0%	1.11	0	Neutral
14	ARI	5.98	4.65	4.02	4.08	8.3%	1.64	+7	Value
15	PHI	6.83	6.32	5.28	4.16	14.9%	1.88	-8	Neutral
16	TEX	3.49	3.50	4.04	4.35	8.0%	1.52	+3	Watch
17	HOU	6.60	7.51	6.33	4.36	16.1%	1.55	+5	Value
18	CHC	4.66	4.02	3.66	4.38	14.4%	1.31	-1	Neutral
19	WSH	8.45	5.48	6.01	4.41	14.8%	2.07	+9	Value
20	NYY	3.66	3.77	2.99	4.42	24.1%	1.02	-16	Fade
21	BAL	5.25	3.98	4.31	4.82	15.6%	1.43	-5	Neutral
22	TB	4.92	4.56	3.78	4.86	7.7%	1.56	-10	Neutral
23	NYM	5.14	5.47	4.33	4.89	11.9%	1.21	-14	Neutral
24	CWS	3.91	2.68	3.91	5.24	3.5%	1.12	-4	Watch
25	STL	3.38	4.14	4.46	5.44	9.8%	1.16	+2	Neutral
26	COL	7.02	5.57	5.37	5.76	7.4%	1.93	+3	Watch
27	ATH	6.22	4.42	5.01	5.92	8.8%	1.54	+3	Watch
28	SF	5.78	4.51	4.52	6.19	11.0%	1.47	-10	Fade
29	KC	5.68	3.89	3.66	6.22	4.2%	1.45	-3	Watch
30	BOS	7.84	4.82	4.98	6.44	7.6%	1.60	-6	Fade

Team Batting Rankings

📊 Sorted by 7d R/G

📅 7d / 14d / 28d R/G — Runs per game over each rolling window.

💥 OPS — If > .800 = Good. If < .670 = Bad

🎯 wRC+ — Measures offense against the league average. 100 = league average. 110 = 10% above average.

📈 Momentum — 28d rank - 7d rank. Positive = Trending up.

🎯 Signal — Value = Hot. Fade = Cold. Watch = Neutral.

#	Team	7d R/G	14d	28d	OPS	wRC+	Mom.	Signal
1	CHC	7.67	6.25	5.10	0.726	149	+5	Neutral
2	PIT	6.71	5.23	5.14	0.735	138	+3	Watch
3	NYY	6.43	4.85	5.00	0.703	148	+6	Value
4	STL	6.17	5.25	4.90	0.699	118	+7	Value
5	LAA	6.00	5.69	5.00	0.730	143	+3	Watch
6	ARI	5.83	5.33	4.50	0.684	125	+8	Value
7	CWS	5.50	3.62	3.50	0.618	135	+20	Value
8	MIN	5.50	5.69	5.09	0.724	117	-1	Neutral
9	TB	5.50	4.83	4.90	0.725	111	+3	Watch
10	ATL	5.33	6.08	5.55	0.792	125	-8	Fade
11	CLE	5.29	4.85	3.87	0.695	109	+11	Value
12	LAD	5.00	5.58	5.76	0.856	133	-11	Fade
13	MIA	5.00	3.92	4.55	0.728	110	0	Neutral
14	TEX	4.71	4.31	4.18	0.700	107	+3	Watch
15	WSH	4.57	5.08	5.50	0.754	81	-12	Neutral
16	BAL	4.43	4.38	4.14	0.715	76	+3	Watch
17	MIL	4.33	3.83	4.95	0.719	91	-7	Fade
18	TOR	4.33	4.08	3.76	0.690	99	+6	Value
19	ATH	4.00	3.92	4.14	0.665	96	-1	Neutral
20	CIN	4.00	4.00	3.55	0.629	70	+6	Value
21	COL	4.00	4.54	4.05	0.684	93	-1	Neutral
22	DET	4.00	4.00	4.27	0.696	101	-6	Fade
23	HOU	4.00	3.92	5.26	0.792	84	-19	Neutral
24	SF	4.00	4.08	3.41	0.649	98	+4	Watch
25	SEA	3.86	4.08	3.91	0.655	110	-4	Watch
26	PHI	3.67	3.25	3.57	0.685	78	-1	Neutral
27	SD	3.67	4.92	4.36	0.694	82	-12	Neutral
28	BOS	3.17	4.25	3.86	0.663	63	-5	Fade
29	KC	2.83	2.54	2.86	0.639	56	+1	Neutral
30	NYM	1.67	1.92	3.27	0.628	45	-1	Neutral

Table Insights

Extracted from rolling tables above.

Strongest

SEA Fade

FADE: The Seattle bullpen has been a mess this week, giving up runs at an alarming rate. Their relievers have the worst ERA over the last seven days in baseball. Avoid backing Seattle when the game gets to their pen.

SF Value

VALUE: The San Francisco bullpen has been one of the best in baseball over the past two weeks. They have barely let anyone score and are keeping baserunners off the bases at a great clip. Back the Giants when the game is close and their relievers are on the mound.

TB Value

VALUE: The Tampa Bay bullpen has been holding its own recently, especially considering they have been facing tough competition. Their relievers have kept runs off the board better than you might expect given the schedule. Back the Rays pen even when they are facing stiff opponents.

ATL Fade

FADE: Atlanta's bullpen has been solid over the past month overall, but things have been heading in the wrong direction lately. Their momentum is sliding and the recent numbers are not as sharp as they were. Be cautious about relying on the Braves pen in close games right now.

WSH Value

WATCH: Washington starters have been getting roughed up badly over the last week and a half, ranking near the bottom of the league. The schedule has been hard, which explains some of it, but the run totals are still ugly. Avoid backing Washington starters until they show they can keep games competitive.

ARI Value

VALUE: Arizona starters have been a bit inconsistent this week but have a solid track record over the past month. They are giving up more runs than they probably should right now, which means things could turn around soon. Keep an eye on the Diamondbacks rotation as a sneaky play going forward.

HOU Value

VALUE: Houston starters have been getting hit hard recently despite facing tough competition, but the numbers suggest they are pitching better than the run totals show. Over the longer stretch, they have shown they can be better than what this past month looks like. Give Houston starters a closer look once they start finding their footing again.

BOS Fade

FADE: Boston starters have been among the worst in baseball this week, giving up nearly 8 runs per 9 innings. Even over the past month they have been below average, so this is not just a short slump. Avoid backing Red Sox starters until there are clear signs of a turnaround.

ARI Value

VALUE: The Arizona offense has been one of the better hitting groups in baseball lately, scoring almost 6 runs a game over the past week. They are making solid contact and putting up good numbers against average competition. Back Arizona in games where they have a reasonable pitching matchup.

ATL Fade

FADE: Atlanta's lineup looks great on paper and has been one of the top offenses over the past month, but their momentum is slipping and scoring has dropped off recently. They are still capable, but the trend is moving in the wrong direction. Wait to see if the Braves bats heat back up before counting on them heavily.

Injury & Lineup Log

Player	Team	Status	Injury	Impact
Freddie Freeman	LAD	10-day IL	IL	Los Angeles Dodgers placed 1B Freddie Freeman on the paternity list.
James McArthur	KC	60-day IL	60-day IL — Right elbow inflammation	Kansas City Royals transferred RHP James McArthur from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Right elbow inflammation.
Joey Loperfido	HOU	10-day IL	10-day IL — Right quad strain	Houston Astros placed LF Joey Loperfido on the 10-day injured list retroactive to April 18, 2026. Right quad strain.

Activated from IL

CWS: Osvaldo Bido — activated from IL

LAA: Jorge Soler — activated from IL

MIA: Kyle Stowers — activated from IL

HOU: Dustin Harris — activated from IL

Free Tool · mlb.up.railway.app

MLB Stats Tracker

Look up any batter or pitcher on today's slate with rolling performance windows and color-coded data points.

⚾ Batters — AVG/OBP/SLG/HR/K/RBI over last 7/10/21 games

⚾ Pitchers — ERA/WHIP/K/BB over last 2/3/4 starts

🔄 Cache refreshes at 6AM PT daily

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Methodology

Rolling windows — 7, 14, and 28-day stats from completed games only. Postponed games excluded.

Momentum — rank_28d - rank_7d. Positive = outperforming recent baseline. Negative = declining.

Schedule strength — Value on Hard schedule is stronger.

ERA-FIP gap — ERA minus FIP. Gap over 1.0 = ERA likely to regress down (unlucky). Under -1.0 = may regress up.

Signals — Value = momentum +5 or more on Avg/Hard. Fade = -5 or worse on Easy/Avg.

Straight rolling ERA with no leverage weighting.